Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Alabama Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec91bdddfde319b9a7ec2a22957bb5a5b8f74537ae27b1e21ddf33614c5b9066
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Alabama Lionsof Bellarmine Knights, North Alabama Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bellarmine Knights | 20c | 7,416$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.32 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed Bellarmine Knights | 1c | 4,830$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Bellarmine Knights | 39c | 2,577$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked North Alabama Lions | 68c | 1,753$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae9…5b36backed Bellarmine Knights | 8c | 1,421$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed North Alabama Lions | 45c | 844.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 32c | 728.89$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.34 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked North Alabama Lions | 63c | 710.31$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bellarmine Knights | 5c | 654.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked North Alabama Lions | 42c | 415.76$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked North Alabama Lions | 63c | 399.8$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bellarmine Knights | 58c | 342.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Bellarmine Knights | 57c | 267.68$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 252.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 225.3$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.92 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Bellarmine Knights | 8c | 221.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked North Alabama Lions | 62c | 202.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 199.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.93 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed North Alabama Lions | 61c | 198.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Bellarmine Knights | 50c | 197.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed North Alabama Lions | 42c | 181.8$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.44 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Alabama Lions | 52c | 180.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed North Alabama Lions | 59c | 177.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bellarmine Knights | 59c | 175.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.34 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked North Alabama Lions | 65c | 166.94$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5261…3ddbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 50c | 161.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed North Alabama Lions | 66c | 155.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Bellarmine Knights | 58c | 153.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed North Alabama Lions | 36c | 145.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bellarmine Knights | 17c | 134.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked North Alabama Lions | 58c | 132.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Bellarmine Knights | 40c | 123.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 103.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 99.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed North Alabama Lions | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bellarmine Knights | 57c | 94.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked North Alabama Lions | 46c | 86.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Bellarmine Knights | 59c | 84.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…cd54backed Bellarmine Knights | 22c | 78.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed North Alabama Lions | 41c | 74.51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Alabama Lions | 41c | 72.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 72.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bellarmine Knights | 16c | 70.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bellarmine Knights | 30c | 60.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed North Alabama Lions | 64c | 58.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed North Alabama Lions | 51c | 57.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 54.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Bellarmine Knights | 55c | 41.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed North Alabama Lions | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Bellarmine Knights | 61c | 39.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed North Alabama Lions | 55c | 38.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed North Alabama Lions | 64c | 31.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked North Alabama Lions | 45c | 31.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Bellarmine Knights | 56c | 30.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefd…cbc2backed North Alabama Lions | 66c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Bellarmine Knights | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed North Alabama Lions | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Bellarmine Knights | 53c | 22.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked North Alabama Lions | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed North Alabama Lions | 76c | 19.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.77 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Alabama Lionsthis page
- Bellarmine Knights vs. North Alabama Lions: O/U 148.5Under won
- Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-2.5)North Alabama Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.