Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49976844332c2e4054537d0719bd6fbd768b80a19c75fead1612c5a950a33a18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Wildcatsof Oregon Ducks, Northwestern Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x161a…4103backed Oregon Ducks | 52c | 5,175$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.09 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Oregon Ducks | 1c | 4,749$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 59c | 3,579$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.75 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…f96dbacked Oregon Ducks | 1c | 3,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oregon Ducks | 39c | 3,357$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.31 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Northwestern Wildcats | 56c | 3,013$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Oregon Ducks | 44c | 2,961$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.68 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon Ducks | 41c | 2,818$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northwestern Wildcats | 58c | 2,331$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.71 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 61c | 2,096$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.8 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northwestern Wildcats | 44c | 1,976$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.44 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 1,151$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northwestern Wildcats | 52c | 1,084$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.29 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oregon Ducks | 49c | 770.62$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…8205backed Oregon Ducks | 22c | 600$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northwestern Wildcats | 55c | 595.37$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 40c | 569.34$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 47c | 554.85$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.27 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 74c | 529.33$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oregon Ducks | 32c | 507.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.16 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…83dbbacked Oregon Ducks | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 463.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Northwestern Wildcats | 61c | 401.66$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Oregon Ducks | 35c | 397.62$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.05 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Northwestern Wildcats | 62c | 336.18$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.25 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northwestern Wildcats | 63c | 311.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.14 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Oregon Ducks | 35c | 307.53$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf50d…7ba8backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oregon Ducks | 37c | 299.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Oregon Ducks | 47c | 299.49$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.76 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Northwestern Wildcats | 62c | 244.92$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Northwestern Wildcats | 61c | 236.18$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.96 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Northwestern Wildcats | 57c | 231.79$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.18 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Oregon Ducks | 8c | 204.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Oregon Ducks | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Northwestern Wildcats | 41c | 188.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 54c | 177.17$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.99 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Oregon Ducks | 37c | 161.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed Oregon Ducks | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 60c | 158.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Oregon Ducks | 35c | 153.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.57 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Northwestern Wildcats | 51c | 141.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Northwestern Wildcats | 64c | 131.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Oregon Ducks | 38c | 130.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 41c | 123$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.96 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Oregon Ducks | 41c | 99.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oregon Ducks | 42c | 94.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oregon Ducks | 40c | 92.48$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Northwestern Wildcats | 37c | 92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Oregon Ducks | 37c | 70.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Oregon Ducks | 36c | 70.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Northwestern Wildcats | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Northwestern Wildcats | 62c | 58.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Oregon Ducks | 40c | 58.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Oregon Ducks | 44c | 53.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Northwestern Wildcats | 55c | 51.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Oregon Ducks | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 63c | 47.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Northwestern Wildcats | 64c | 44.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Oregon Ducks | 43c | 39.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Oregon Ducks | 53c | 37.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Northwestern Wildcats | 60c | 33.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Northwestern Wildcats | 44c | 32.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Oregon Ducks | 63c | 30.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Oregon Ducks | 39c | 28.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Northwestern Wildcats | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Northwestern Wildcats | 63c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…7cf5backed Northwestern Wildcats | 68c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcatsthis page
- Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 141.5Under won
- Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Northwestern Wildcats (-3.5)Oregon Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.