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NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Netsof Nets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$335,782
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,450

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,782 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Bucks64c42,995$27,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,518.2411842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Bucks73c24,883$18,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,068.5815056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Nets23c18,825$4,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,495.0737448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Nets55c17,731$9,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,005.9870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets27c14,364$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,483.4565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks27c11,415$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.131,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets17c8,104$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,691.781,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Nets16c6,032$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,069.1172341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Nets18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.5625939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Nets19c5,000$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.72142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Bucks80c4,998$3,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,995.1272241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets21c4,050$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,189.491,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks37c3,932$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets20c3,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c7f…9c99backed Bucks6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+72.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Bucks74c3,302$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4353663.9%23 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Nets26c3,178$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.366245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bucks79c2,895$2,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,286.6733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets16c2,162$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.6696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Nets24c2,030$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.7361532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Bucks77c2,000$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.9825651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60037954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Bucks80c2,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.764060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Nets30c1,900$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3306943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Nets28c1,900$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3681,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Bucks1c1,820$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9437011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets20c1,813$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.7577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e51…860ebacked Nets20c1,687$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+153.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Nets19c1,634$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.3126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Nets31c1,290$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.326533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Bucks79c1,135$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Bucks1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Nets21c1,084$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.8270951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bucks2c1,041$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Nets20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91f7…0108backed Bucks80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Nets19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8108040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks72c994.7$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.41,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Bucks70c782.09$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.466744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks76c774.27$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.9973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Nets19c765.32$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.913444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Bucks39c758.11$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.668343.4%36 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets13c675.01$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.081,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Nets18c661.11$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.115269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Bucks4c600$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde1…5203backed Bucks2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+127.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets19c599.31$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.181,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Nets34c594.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1427739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Nets34c590.03$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.426160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5638027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Nets22c530.96$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.5717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Nets23c507.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7311146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets15c500$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4251,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Bucks75c454.67$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2119939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Nets19c450.16$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.6315940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Nets30c436.09$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.261,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Bucks80c432$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.61637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Bucks71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15236057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce73…70a9backed Bucks15c400$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+79.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Bucks70c399.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Bucks42c352.64$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5319231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…8b15backed Bucks70c336.09$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7764…dc84backed Nets15c334.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.74577%4 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-60.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Bucks61c329.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.236750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Bucks72c315$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.648741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Nets20c307.78$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.2321649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nets33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0338942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nets20c300$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Bucks46c299.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13735165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Nets35c279.43$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.4223237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Nets27c261.58$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9836651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Bucks78c255.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Nets20c250$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20034551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Nets27c249.19$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.9617244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Nets27c233.01$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1445251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Nets27c233$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1311150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x96e3…83d2backed Nets19c231.58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.586640.9%27 W · 39 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+41.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Nets10c229.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.999338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Nets19c221.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets30c220$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Bucks80c214.51$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.5528454.6%155 W · 129 L-17.9wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Bucks25c210$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.547535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x541c…71a2backed Bucks71c209.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.77825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Nets20c200.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.2640448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb272…21d8backed Bucks25c200.4$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Nets18c200$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1645240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed Nets20c195.2$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1615045.3%68 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa32b…e132backed Nets21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4811035.5%39 W · 71 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets23c190$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Nets21c186.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.151936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets28c182.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Bucks69c168.12$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11628856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Nets30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.674420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed Nets21c164.14$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.144344.2%19 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick31cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfaa…79a7backed Nets13c154.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7134246.8%160 W · 182 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x745a…64e8backed Nets19c150.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.368324.1%20 W · 63 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Nets17c148.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.92725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc035…ec07backed Bucks71c139.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Nets27c139$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0171747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.