Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2024-12-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64632390f51d5933e0ba653563d38f04931e75253dcb011365d2d4a95523f01c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 49c | 106,914$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,499.65 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 44c | 57,035$25,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,939.82 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 44c | 10,425$4,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.88 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes | 45c | 6,455$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51c…502dbacked No | 55c | 6,414$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,527.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…eff3backed Yes | 44c | 6,372$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.59 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 44c | 6,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Yes | 44c | 5,026$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.53 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Yes | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 56c | 1,294$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.56 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 57c | 1,000$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.37 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 53c | 950.1$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.01 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 44c | 924.44$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.68 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 47c | 327.8$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeee…c5c4backed No | 57c | 256.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…c262backed Yes | 45c | 256.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 54c | 242.82$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.12 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 44c | 222.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd31…4f6dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…dbdebacked No | 54c | 160.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…5076backed Yes | 43c | 160.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…3012backed Yes | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 14c | 143.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Yes | 45c | 129.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 56c | 108.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 44c | 105$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Yes | 44c | 100.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc689…9279backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…8ba5backed No | 55c | 99.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e5…5405backed Yes | 46c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…605cbacked Yes | 46c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…ac33backed Yes | 46c | 98.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…3758backed No | 56c | 97.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…c2acbacked No | 56c | 97.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…879ebacked Yes | 46c | 80.43$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcb…f3d6backed Yes | 45c | 80.42$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bb…b914backed Yes | 45c | 77.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…069abacked No | 55c | 64.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 55c | 62.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb015…39c5backed Yes | 45c | 59.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…92b0backed No | 55c | 56.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…a400backed Yes | 45c | 55.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…098cbacked Yes | 45c | 55.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed No | 57c | 48.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…3b45backed No | 54c | 45.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked No | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 43c | 42.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…0d5fbacked No | 55c | 41.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Yes | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…11ecbacked No | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…9ce3backed No | 55c | 39.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…6648backed Yes | 44c | 39.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059b…3b05backed Yes | 45c | 38.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f06…cd40backed No | 55c | 37.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…93a9backed Yes | 45c | 37.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc8…acadbacked Yes | 44c | 36.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72c…2bcabacked Yes | 45c | 36.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…d088backed No | 55c | 35.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe125…6f93backed No | 55c | 35.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecd…cdb8backed Yes | 44c | 35.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…48e0backed No | 55c | 35.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…3351backed No | 55c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…2689backed No | 55c | 33.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…9c03backed Yes | 45c | 33.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b6…2fb3backed Yes | 44c | 32.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ce…3263backed No | 55c | 32.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c63…ec43backed No | 55c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c4…b33bbacked Yes | 45c | 31.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…37adbacked No | 55c | 31.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…e042backed No | 55c | 30.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…398bbacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc142…feefbacked Yes | 45c | 29.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…6418backed No | 55c | 27.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…2802backed Yes | 45c | 27.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d0…d8dabacked Yes | 45c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…024fbacked No | 55c | 26.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…5b54backed Yes | 45c | 26.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…09f1backed Yes | 46c | 26.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 56c | 24.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…33f4backed Yes | 46c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a14…dfb7backed Yes | 46c | 24.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…5792backed Yes | 45c | 23.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…6eddbacked No | 54c | 23.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…b421backed Yes | 44c | 23.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Yes | 44c | 23.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…22c5backed No | 56c | 23.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74e…311ebacked Yes | 44c | 23.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…193cbacked No | 55c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…b6eebacked No | 55c | 21.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…a951backed No | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec06…6b34backed No | 55c | 20.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…7ebdbacked No | 56c | 20.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 69c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…014ebacked No | 55c | 19.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2024-12-04?this page
- Will Everton vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2024-12-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.