NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01cddc477e4e5a958caad2adff49d98a5b88ae70ba2e0db82eb35f2f0c71cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Trail Blazers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 24,532$4,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,036.38 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 9,707$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.98 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 5,592$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.38 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 4,584$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.25 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 4,100$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.51 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 4,041$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 3,900$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2223…468dbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,857$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,606$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.82 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 1,596$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,453$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,357$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.55 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 999.75$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 969.05$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.82 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 953.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 767$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.7 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 564.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…7ae6backed Mavericks | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 386.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 334.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 311.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…55d4backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 295.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 252.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 231.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 207.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 196.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 149.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…1e41backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 131.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf016…52babacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 69.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 65.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5b…26dcbacked Mavericks | 80c | 24.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…47cbbacked Mavericks | 80c | 21.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…dafebacked Mavericks | 80c | 18.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…c8e8backed Mavericks | 80c | 17.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…e9f5backed Mavericks | 79c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…f7dabacked Mavericks | 80c | 12.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.