NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd78581d6ff039c2cec26a64f3663ad38f4a987d1bda1bb283874c3819b0506e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Raptors, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 0c | 48,900$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb24c…c868backed Raptors | 15c | 13,297$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Raptors | 16c | 5,880$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.73 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors | 14c | 4,626$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.16 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Raptors | 0c | 4,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 16c | 4,062$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.85 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.95 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…3147backed Raptors | 17c | 3,282$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…acf9backed Raptors | 6c | 3,181$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…8a3ebacked Raptors | 3c | 3,096$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x773f…267bbacked Raptors | 17c | 3,013$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Raptors | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors | 13c | 2,179$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.55 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Raptors | 14c | 2,159$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.2 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Raptors | 14c | 2,021$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.61 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Raptors | 15c | 1,287$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Raptors | 6c | 1,169$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Raptors | 9c | 1,133$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Raptors | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Raptors | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Raptors | 17c | 1,059$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Raptors | 15c | 1,017$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.25 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Raptors | 15c | 999.86$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…2da4backed Raptors | 15c | 999.57$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…2dd9backed Raptors | 18c | 945.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raptors | 8c | 920.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Raptors | 16c | 878.62$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors | 11c | 851.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Raptors | 14c | 654.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 159 | 40.3%64 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf9…7927backed Raptors | 14c | 649.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…208fbacked Raptors | 16c | 640.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…1a3abacked Raptors | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Raptors | 12c | 452.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Raptors | 14c | 404.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Raptors | 13c | 400.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Raptors | 12c | 399.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Raptors | 3c | 395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 15c | 372.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Raptors | 14c | 359$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Raptors | 14c | 354.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Raptors | 14c | 328.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Raptors | 3c | 320$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Raptors | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Raptors | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Raptors | 4c | 272.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Raptors | 14c | 249.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Raptors | 14c | 247.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Raptors | 17c | 238.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Raptors | 15c | 234.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…872abacked Raptors | 9c | 217.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af4…706ebacked Raptors | 12c | 214.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Raptors | 16c | 209.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Raptors | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Raptors | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…003fbacked Raptors | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…e2bfbacked Raptors | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Raptors | 15c | 178.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0f92backed Raptors | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -40%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd07f…6c05backed Raptors | 18c | 169.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Raptors | 15c | 167$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2239…c9c0backed Raptors | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325d…d576backed Raptors | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…4f47backed Raptors | 16c | 137.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Raptors | 16c | 132.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Grizzlies | 73c | 131.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…968abacked Grizzlies | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db0…f54fbacked Raptors | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Raptors | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…b0f1backed Raptors | 12c | 118$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x188d…6583backed Raptors | 18c | 107.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…e0a3backed Raptors | 12c | 102$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Raptors | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked Raptors | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Raptors | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…2a7cbacked Raptors | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…17d0backed Grizzlies | 79c | 99.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…4553backed Raptors | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…efe0backed Raptors | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Raptors | 15c | 91.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Raptors | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Raptors | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…dcacbacked Raptors | 12c | 88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…0a71backed Raptors | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Raptors | 14c | 82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a4…eeaabacked Raptors | 19c | 55.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a3fbbacked Grizzlies | 79c | 51.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…2e78backed Grizzlies | 70c | 48.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…8faebacked Raptors | 30c | 40.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…44d4backed Grizzlies | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342d…4953backed Grizzlies | 79c | 31.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…3d32backed Grizzlies | 74c | 31.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…b856backed Grizzlies | 78c | 31.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…25a7backed Grizzlies | 74c | 31.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…35e0backed Grizzlies | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…76b3backed Grizzlies | 62c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1a…70a5backed Grizzlies | 79c | 28.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.