TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Pelicans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rocketsof Rockets, Pelicans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$207,444
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,444 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans5c47,500$2,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,214.9972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…53a6backed Pelicans0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…0bf0backed Rockets74c9,000$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f3…f169backed Pelicans26c8,716$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans26c7,758$2,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,026.2677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Pelicans27c7,300$1,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,970.953534.3%12 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets75c5,464$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.5630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Pelicans27c3,705$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.822142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans28c3,020$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.61,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pelicans30c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Rockets72c2,101$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.475369.8%37 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans1c2,100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans7c2,052$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.861,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548c…46a9backed Rockets73c2,003$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.811145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick64cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69aa…8847backed Rockets73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5403284.4%27 W · 5 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans24c1,923$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.372341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans7c1,771$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.463,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockets70c1,700$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51030351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Rockets75c1,611$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3631347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Rockets70c1,553$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.8728063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans6c1,421$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4661532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Pelicans25c1,413$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.2846928.4%133 W · 336 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Pelicans1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Rockets75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3325865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x82cf…defdbacked Pelicans28c1,087$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.281435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…2cbfbacked Rockets73c1,086$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.35354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Pelicans27c1,000$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.258040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Rockets74c999.98$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5912154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Rockets72c971.77$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.11050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29da…4d30backed Pelicans28c970$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Rockets75c876$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22015341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Rockets77c875.15$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.624667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x852a…58f6backed Rockets76c817.04$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-55.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets75c799.98$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.991,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Rockets79c634.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.424573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Rockets71c622$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3811662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans13c611.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.341,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rockets72c593.19$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Rockets72c571.42$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7126235.9%94 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets71c509.65$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.81,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets73c501.09$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7975347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Pelicans30c450$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1356743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Rockets75c440$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2225651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Rockets72c430.3$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.4814438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Pelicans23c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9117141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Pelicans31c400$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12315237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1efd…1106backed Rockets75c388.15$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.151376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pelicans26c381.54$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.22,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9465…e4c2backed Pelicans27c372.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Rockets73c370$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.96752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e6…5b30backed Pelicans28c365$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-81.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Pelicans17c356$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5825851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Rockets75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.332975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198b…3bcabacked Rockets80c330.79$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.382661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Rockets75c311.85$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9616838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bf…d806backed Pelicans26c310.28$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5710837%40 W · 68 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Pelicans26c301.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8911150.5%56 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf92…e512backed Pelicans30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9019746.2%91 W · 106 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e01…47a6backed Pelicans27c295.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecf…4270backed Rockets79c292.66$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pelicans26c290$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.945251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pelicans24c284.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Rockets79c283.64$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6415763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f05…8ad8backed Rockets73c274.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Rockets77c258.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.356348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Rockets74c255$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Pelicans24c249.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7515947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Pelicans25c227.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.817244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Rockets74c215.14$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1430648.7%149 W · 157 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Pelicans24c203.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pelicans25c202.34$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6139843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Rockets70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f5…19dabacked Rockets77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Rockets71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5835165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Rockets74c199.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2af4…706ebacked Pelicans20c197.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.014134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f8d…a5b6backed Rockets72c180.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.854744.7%21 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Pelicans28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016825.6%43 W · 125 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ffd…05f6backed Rockets73c166.9$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Pelicans30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets71c165.12$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Pelicans25c150.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.219646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ec…a3b9backed Pelicans28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Pelicans29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Rockets73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9916440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Pelicans25c136.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6226933.5%90 W · 179 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Rockets74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111337.2%42 W · 71 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Rockets75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3323359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8755…9d5cbacked Rockets75c114$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56666.7%44 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa51b…7c06backed Rockets74c112.16$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1611863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Rockets74c108.24$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2411763.2%74 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db0…f54fbacked Pelicans29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Rockets78c102.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.488335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f0…4795backed Rockets74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3512163.6%77 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Rockets74c101.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3512065%78 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Pelicans25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2593041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Pelicans20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x900d…2961backed Rockets75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253571.4%25 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Rockets74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264472.7%32 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.