Cricket · resolved market
Rajasthan Royals vs. Punjab Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f347b6a40dd829dfcef0c951b3f44175b4d0f1733fe91817ed7c3de3c3c7f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Punjab Kingsof Rajasthan Royals, Punjab Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff51…ced1backed Punjab Kings | 63c | 33,167$20,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,271.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…e784backed Rajasthan Royals | 37c | 33,167$12,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,271.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Rajasthan Royals | 1c | 2,400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bb…a429backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rajasthan Royals | 42c | 1,351$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.5 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Rajasthan Royals | 42c | 986.62$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Rajasthan Royals | 50c | 637.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Punjab Kings | 50c | 278.74$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…76a5backed Punjab Kings | 74c | 239.82$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…be2ebacked Rajasthan Royals | 12c | 229.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…6db5backed Punjab Kings | 46c | 226.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Punjab Kings | 41c | 184.66$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…8810backed Punjab Kings | 58c | 105.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Punjab Kings | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Punjab Kings | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdd…1969backed Rajasthan Royals | 34c | 59.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Rajasthan Royals | 33c | 51.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…5857backed Punjab Kings | 69c | 36.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…7f0abacked Punjab Kings | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc6…3bb9backed Rajasthan Royals | 46c | 32.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…118abacked Punjab Kings | 66c | 31.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…c293backed Punjab Kings | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…e408backed Rajasthan Royals | 39c | 25.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd9…87ccbacked Punjab Kings | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…9dc4backed Punjab Kings | 76c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.