NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Pelicans

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49ec4fe7616e73fa16cf24cce9aa15dfe301463218c8c1ab07bc68971821b69

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pelicansof Jazz, Pelicans
Resolved: Jan 18, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $343,672
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $356,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,672 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x041d…d5acbacked Jazz	16c	130,000$20,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,800	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz	0c	49,729$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.73	722	41.4%299 W · 423 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jazz	10c	10,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1,290	44%567 W · 723 L	+35.0wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86cb…6c6dbacked Jazz	17c	8,885$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.46	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Jazz	17c	6,822$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.57	461	31%143 W · 318 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Jazz	5c	5,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	256	51.6%132 W · 124 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pelicans	79c	3,426$2,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.72	1,164	49.6%577 W · 587 L	+7.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Jazz	7c	3,351$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.88	262	35.9%94 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	16c	3,050$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.98	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Jazz	18c	3,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	368	43.8%161 W · 207 L	-17.8wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Jazz	16c	3,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.96	406	27.8%113 W · 293 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz	1c	2,984$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.42	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Jazz	6c	2,694$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.79	367	48.2%177 W · 190 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Jazz	21c	1,940$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Jazz	15c	1,625$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.82	93	38.7%36 W · 57 L	+10.0wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+91.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz	3c	1,500$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	1,277	2.3%29 W · 1,248 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-84%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jazz	16c	1,500$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.6	1,166	54.4%634 W · 532 L	+19.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Jazz	15c	1,440$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.14	50	28%14 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3418…458abacked Jazz	11c	1,359$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.45	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1448…d60abacked Jazz	18c	1,306$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…ab8abacked Jazz	17c	1,260$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Jazz	17c	1,219$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.23	139	20.1%28 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71e9…1248backed Jazz	10c	1,172$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Jazz	17c	1,105$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.87	59	16.9%10 W · 49 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Jazz	4c	1,051$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.16	232	37.1%86 W · 146 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Jazz	18c	1,024$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	227	21.6%49 W · 178 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jazz	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	893	53%473 W · 420 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Jazz	11c	954.55$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	303	31.4%95 W · 208 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Jazz	16c	937.51$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	76	36.8%28 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Jazz	19c	869$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.11	777	45%350 W · 427 L	+6.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Jazz	12c	820.65$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.01	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Jazz	2c	800$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	750	2%15 W · 735 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Jazz	12c	800$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	510	37.5%191 W · 319 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c2e…5db7backed Jazz	16c	799.98$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-50%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6060…2a60backed Jazz	17c	770.59$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans	79c	765.4$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.16	623	51.4%320 W · 303 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Jazz	17c	691$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.42	259	57.5%149 W · 110 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdacd…cfb2backed Jazz	2c	683.33$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Jazz	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	136	11.8%16 W · 120 L	+4.1wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…ff34backed Jazz	4c	515.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	-5.6wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Jazz	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	686	42.1%289 W · 397 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Jazz	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	96	25%24 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb51c…502dbacked Jazz	17c	444$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Pelicans	76c	441.8$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.03	853	47.9%409 W · 444 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Jazz	17c	435.03$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	277	35.4%98 W · 179 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6218…36e8backed Jazz	20c	424.65$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.93	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Jazz	30c	371.5$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.26	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans	78c	354.98$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.63	855	42%359 W · 496 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Jazz	4c	319.07$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	75	38.7%29 W · 46 L	+5.9wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Jazz	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	111	30.6%34 W · 77 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Jazz	17c	294$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5389…daecbacked Jazz	16c	284.48$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f4…8c52backed Jazz	17c	263.05$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	105	40%42 W · 63 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Jazz	11c	236.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	92	42.4%39 W · 53 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Jazz	28c	222$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	202	45.5%92 W · 110 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17e7…85a1backed Jazz	17c	221$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.57	195	56.9%111 W · 84 L	+20.0wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Pelicans	63c	220.36$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.02	404	48.3%195 W · 209 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Pelicans	75c	217.37$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.67	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-4.4wins	-0.16per pick	68cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Jazz	17c	211.77$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Jazz	17c	207.68$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	169	28.4%48 W · 121 L	+8.7wins	+0.05per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe015…c3b4backed Jazz	17c	200.01$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x515f…539cbacked Jazz	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz	17c	190$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.3	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Jazz	17c	175$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.75	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33fe…0cccbacked Jazz	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	98	27.6%27 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pelicans	62c	164.21$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.4	1,197	46.7%559 W · 638 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Jazz	17c	152.94$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	35	48.6%17 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e7…a1a9backed Jazz	17c	147.36$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.05	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258d…cd31backed Jazz	17c	147.07$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz	19c	143.67$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.33	880	53.8%473 W · 407 L	+52.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Jazz	15c	143.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.36	883	35.3%312 W · 571 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ff9…e494backed Jazz	11c	139.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	352	35.2%124 W · 228 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Jazz	8c	126$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	370	11.4%42 W · 328 L	-6.2wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Jazz	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	-7.8wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Jazz	19c	125$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	258	33.7%87 W · 171 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d7b…f9b1backed Jazz	37c	121.74$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb49…dfa1backed Jazz	12c	120.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Jazz	17c	117.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	345	51.3%177 W · 168 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Jazz	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	119	34.5%41 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cb…4bf9backed Jazz	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+13.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	25c	103.31$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	357	34.5%123 W · 234 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7c…9c0ebacked Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe973…fb6ebacked Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb256…c7f8backed Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c0…a8b7backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb1…b4f5backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe06…f2adbacked Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0393…7c92backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x352a…a17ebacked Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6632…fe3cbacked Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Jazz	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	85	37.6%32 W · 53 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbd8c…7997backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81a…e393backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb633…a251backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf01c…ebefbacked Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…15c7backed Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca5…03bcbacked Jazz	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc94…aefebacked Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6b…1b80backed Jazz	16c	100$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Pelicans

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market