Us Politics · resolved market
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69d621a0272e3ae4a77a786e1450a2dad27c5eb98a5e17aa59598aadbfa7be55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 6c | 15,576$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.72 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 8c | 12,621$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.08 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed Yes | 7c | 3,000$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 7c | 2,564$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.04 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…3d2fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,512$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…09a8backed Yes | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,690$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 1,620$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,391$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 9c | 1,350$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 877.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 8c | 852.52$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c91…66eebacked Yes | 13c | 793.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4947…d6fabacked Yes | 6c | 500.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8de…c07fbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e87…1c22backed Yes | 7c | 465$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4dbfbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…df86backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8b…713bbacked Yes | 8c | 245$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 10c | 205.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…cd82backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 29c | 127.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 58c | 88.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.