NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2469d94e3fedb9779e04f6315deae80e5a6fff5c88f39c32d47e9430aa5f8ce2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stars of Jets, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $217,548
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,548 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Jets | 25c | 59,512$14,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,965.15 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4446backed Stars | 59c | 37,600$22,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,416 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…a36dbacked Jets | 41c | 37,600$15,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Stars | 71c | 29,130$20,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.57 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 75c | 23,744$17,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,822.58 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Stars | 63c | 16,170$10,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,030.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Stars | 76c | 9,773$7,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.94 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Jets | 25c | 7,542$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.12 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Jets | 24c | 6,250$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Jets | 24c | 5,300$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Stars | 76c | 5,252$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.73 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Jets | 37c | 5,243$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 27c | 4,226$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.58 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Stars | 65c | 3,397$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.37 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Jets | 38c | 3,395$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.57 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Stars | 73c | 2,843$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.81 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Jets | 24c | 2,568$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.39 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Stars | 70c | 2,525$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.73 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x083a…c64dbacked Stars | 78c | 2,500$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Jets | 40c | 1,725$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.94 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1444…69c0backed Jets | 23c | 1,500$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72a…3eecbacked Jets | 38c | 1,266$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Jets | 38c | 1,190$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.25 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Jets | 28c | 1,150$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Jets | 35c | 1,100$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Jets | 70c | 1,097$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…1d71backed Jets | 24c | 1,094$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Jets | 6c | 1,021$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 225 | 16.4%37 W · 188 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Stars | 30c | 999.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.87 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…f84dbacked Jets | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…4e6fbacked Jets | 34c | 739.12$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Jets | 11c | 717.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.95 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Jets | 44c | 689.8$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Jets | 38c | 658$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc61…0719backed Jets | 23c | 617.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Stars | 70c | 560.59$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 73c | 426.94$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.27 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Stars | 70c | 350.37$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.98 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Jets | 25c | 349.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f4…b2a9backed Jets | 23c | 329.21$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Jets | 4c | 327$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jets | 36c | 302.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…875cbacked Stars | 59c | 299.97$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…9803backed Stars | 63c | 291.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Stars | 78c | 290$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Jets | 37c | 272.55$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked Stars | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Stars | 59c | 255$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Jets | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jets | 17c | 217$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Stars | 61c | 210.58$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.12 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Jets | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…380bbacked Jets | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…2382backed Stars | 78c | 180.77$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Stars | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Stars | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa173…3315backed Stars | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Stars | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.02 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Jets | 38c | 141.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Jets | 31c | 137.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc664…409dbacked Jets | 38c | 131$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Stars | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b6…27ddbacked Jets | 42c | 96.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd392…e400backed Jets | 38c | 92.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Stars | 62c | 89.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Stars | 74c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +13.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…b797backed Jets | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…d9b4backed Stars | 60c | 48.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e02…c96dbacked Jets | 41c | 46.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Jets | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ca4abacked Stars | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Stars | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…35b1backed Jets | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…8b98backed Jets | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…fb4cbacked Stars | 60c | 37.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b50…d3b5backed Jets | 41c | 37.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3f…fb85backed Jets | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Jets | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ec…8becbacked Jets | 41c | 35.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Jets | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0699…9d26backed Stars | 60c | 22.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stars | 76c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.