NFL · resolved market
Will the Cowboys hire Deion Sanders as their next head coach?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d34d460278d59b224a3b3a42415a5a7f14828d01a980109d1a50b22a95478b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 74c | 5,947$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.44 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed Yes | 1c | 3,969$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 25c | 3,390$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.5 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 26c | 2,014$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…fbb3backed Yes | 24c | 1,427$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked No | 72c | 1,244$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 22c | 827.1$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 703.65$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.64 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d00…d499backed Yes | 23c | 695.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 29c | 521.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.11 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17f…60eebacked Yes | 24c | 504.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…ca61backed Yes | 31c | 500.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 460$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked No | 71c | 416.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 22c | 400$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 77c | 350.99$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 62c | 337.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 12c | 327.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 16c | 302.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…5312backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 12cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 24c | 280$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd516…45edbacked No | 70c | 271.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 8c | 266.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 261.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…f305backed Yes | 37c | 233.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.9 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 22c | 226$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 225.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed No | 79c | 209$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…ad17backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 9c | 184.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 26c | 136.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 31c | 130.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 28c | 126.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 65c | 120$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…728dbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…6f06backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 26c | 86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 73.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…058dbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…f905backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed No | 76c | 29.89$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…15b1backed No | 80c | 25.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…43e4backed No | 76c | 21.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…c555backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cowboys hire Deion Sanders as their next head coach?this page
- Will the Cowboys hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Cowboys hire Brian Schottenheimer as their next head coach?Yes won
- Will the Cowboys hire Joe Brady as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Cowboys hire Kellen Moore as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Cowboys hire Kliff Kingsbury as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Cowboys hire Mike Zimmer as their next head coach?No won
- Will the Cowboys hire Steve Sarkisian as their next head coach?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.