Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Marco Cecchinato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717ec8a2e04509424cc1360215179e47ad322332ffcda0205c07b8d29842367d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passaroof Passaro, Cecchinato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Cecchinato | 28c | 6,485$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Passaro | 59c | 6,422$3,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Cecchinato | 49c | 6,046$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.95 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Passaro | 70c | 4,260$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.46 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Passaro | 75c | 3,095$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.32 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cecchinato | 30c | 2,677$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.7 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Passaro | 64c | 1,575$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.55 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Cecchinato | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cecchinato | 35c | 1,417$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Cecchinato | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Passaro | 73c | 1,206$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.75 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Cecchinato | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Passaro | 46c | 1,050$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.78 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…b57dbacked Cecchinato | 4c | 761.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Passaro | 74c | 675.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cecchinato | 44c | 588.66$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Passaro | 49c | 458.59$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.39 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Passaro | 77c | 432.47$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.47 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Passaro | 45c | 402.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cecchinato | 36c | 399.97$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Passaro | 77c | 391.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cecchinato | 28c | 296.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Cecchinato | 33c | 291.97$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Passaro | 44c | 239.75$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Passaro | 75c | 212.78$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cda…2de5backed Passaro | 63c | 189.83$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cecchinato | 46c | 178.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Passaro | 48c | 149.77$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Passaro | 55c | 140.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Passaro | 47c | 129.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Passaro | 65c | 123.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cecchinato | 26c | 117$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Cecchinato | 42c | 105.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Passaro | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cecchinato | 23c | 84.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Cecchinato | 35c | 84.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cecchinato | 17c | 78.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Passaro | 69c | 72.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Passaro | 48c | 70.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d33…d13ebacked Cecchinato | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e1…5b84backed Passaro | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cecchinato | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Cecchinato | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cecchinato | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Passaro | 74c | 54.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cecchinato | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Passaro | 49c | 43.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Cecchinato | 52c | 40.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Passaro | 49c | 39.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f89…20bbbacked Cecchinato | 42c | 39.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cecchinato | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cecchinato | 36c | 36.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Passaro | 68c | 23.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…e817backed Passaro | 54c | 21.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Passaro | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Passaro | 63c | 17.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Marco Cecchinatothis page
- Passaro vs. Cecchinato: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Passaro vs CecchinatoCecchinato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.