Lol · resolved market
LoL: EXILE esports vs Ethereal Enigmas (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0da544f07cb7e8324a2fdea6ed5c09e10c7fec837bb365b9c5dcf0f117e5a33e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- EXILE esportsof EXILE esports, Ethereal Enigmas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed EXILE esports | 76c | 6,097$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ethereal Enigmas | 42c | 1,805$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.09 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed EXILE esports | 61c | 1,446$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ethereal Enigmas | 47c | 999.98$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed EXILE esports | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 528.67$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.75 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Ethereal Enigmas | 37c | 502.33$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Ethereal Enigmas | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed EXILE esports | 53c | 393.1$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.76 | 131 | 36.6%48 W · 83 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked EXILE esports | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0002…103ebacked Ethereal Enigmas | 10c | 320$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…65c8backed Ethereal Enigmas | 41c | 279.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed EXILE esports | 53c | 259.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Ethereal Enigmas | 51c | 259$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.39 | 225 | 36.9%83 W · 142 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…ce38backed EXILE esports | 70c | 243.01$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed EXILE esports | 49c | 229$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Ethereal Enigmas | 52c | 207.02$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.65 | 219 | 43.8%96 W · 123 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…a06dbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +294.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc3…861abacked Ethereal Enigmas | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed EXILE esports | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed EXILE esports | 75c | 181$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…9a42backed Ethereal Enigmas | 52c | 127.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.15 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked EXILE esports | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x166f…bb0fbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 17c | 114.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed EXILE esports | 37c | 103.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed EXILE esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +361.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed EXILE esports | 53c | 95.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…c31ebacked Ethereal Enigmas | 57c | 84.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Ethereal Enigmas | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed EXILE esports | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked EXILE esports | 55c | 45.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Ethereal Enigmas | 51c | 28.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed EXILE esports | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…9e9dbacked Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc766…c4d9backed Ethereal Enigmas | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed Ethereal Enigmas | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.