Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x659a8bb9d4bd7401f8a8ae759fce9da7bb4764d7d0d4f983c2eb7cdfdd6d35ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- O'Connellof Gaston, O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Gaston | 49c | 2,394$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.33 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Gaston | 11c | 1,983$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gaston | 17c | 1,786$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaston | 18c | 1,341$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Gaston | 52c | 1,274$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.96 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked O'Connell | 49c | 1,108$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.97 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed O'Connell | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.74 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed O'Connell | 46c | 1,097$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.52 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed O'Connell | 48c | 834.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.79 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed O'Connell | 63c | 793.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Gaston | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Gaston | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Gaston | 20c | 315.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gaston | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Gaston | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed O'Connell | 45c | 246.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…4e41backed O'Connell | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…d14bbacked Gaston | 21c | 238.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…8bf0backed Gaston | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed O'Connell | 50c | 220.72$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…29dfbacked Gaston | 54c | 220$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked O'Connell | 54c | 217.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.61 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8266…5a51backed Gaston | 55c | 214$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gaston | 54c | 213$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…571fbacked O'Connell | 46c | 212$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd21…96c0backed O'Connell | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652a…e8c8backed O'Connell | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa23…bcbcbacked Gaston | 55c | 208$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Gaston | 23c | 206.74$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed O'Connell | 49c | 204.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked O'Connell | 50c | 200.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Gaston | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Gaston | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Gaston | 41c | 193.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.09 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gaston | 52c | 164.95$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Gaston | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked O'Connell | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed O'Connell | 48c | 104.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Gaston | 51c | 104.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Gaston | 33c | 101.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed O'Connell | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Gaston | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Gaston | 20c | 97.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed O'Connell | 46c | 93.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gaston | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Gaston | 34c | 76.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Gaston | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed O'Connell | 64c | 62.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Gaston | 18c | 61.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…8f65backed Gaston | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked O'Connell | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked O'Connell | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Gaston | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed O'Connell | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…a60fbacked Gaston | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed O'Connell | 50c | 40.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed O'Connell | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed O'Connell | 48c | 39.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Gaston | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 67.8%59 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked O'Connell | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gaston | 54c | 30.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed O'Connell | 43c | 29.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Gaston | 55c | 27.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Gaston | 53c | 23.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked Gaston | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 68cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…dae2backed Gaston | 57c | 19.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Gaston | 55c | 18.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…44f6backed Gaston | 59c | 18.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabf…21dbbacked O'Connell | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Christopher O'Connellthis page
- Gaston vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Gaston vs. O'Connell: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Gaston vs. O'Connell: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.