Tennis · resolved market
Transylvania Open: Ella Seidel vs Anna Bondar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5126bd927453ada2bf6299f2b18cfe5aa78a82e1b7310734b429a63fdc4a379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bondarof Seidel, Bondar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,937
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,937 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seidel | 59c | 10,044$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bondar | 38c | 8,952$3,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,522.92 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Bondar | 50c | 5,456$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.86 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Seidel | 71c | 4,528$3,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.29 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Seidel | 50c | 4,300$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seidel | 67c | 2,345$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.87 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bondar | 27c | 1,830$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.01 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Bondar | 51c | 1,652$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.57 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed Bondar | 28c | 1,452$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.99 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Bondar | 30c | 1,321$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.18 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Seidel | 48c | 1,236$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.11 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Seidel | 58c | 1,200$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Bondar | 53c | 1,126$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Bondar | 38c | 1,045$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.78 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Bondar | 42c | 923$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.11 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Seidel | 63c | 901$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bondar | 42c | 805$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.92 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Seidel | 38c | 798.99$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Seidel | 34c | 742.32$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.2 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Bondar | 40c | 728.4$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.04 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Seidel | 49c | 724.92$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb62f…6836backed Seidel | 63c | 600$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Bondar | 42c | 595.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.71 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Seidel | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Seidel | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Bondar | 46c | 430$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bondar | 42c | 421.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Seidel | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Bondar | 26c | 378.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Bondar | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…965cbacked Bondar | 27c | 360$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.8 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Seidel | 43c | 359.35$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3386…b061backed Seidel | 63c | 326.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…f991backed Seidel | 55c | 300$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Seidel | 51c | 280$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Bondar | 53c | 280$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…8762backed Bondar | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bondar | 49c | 253$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.03 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Bondar | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Bondar | 29c | 195.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Bondar | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Seidel | 50c | 179.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bondar | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Seidel | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bondar | 52c | 156.81$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Seidel | 65c | 150.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.74 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Bondar | 35c | 146.37$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bondar | 51c | 144.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Seidel | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Seidel | 47c | 122$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Seidel | 68c | 102.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…3d21backed Bondar | 32c | 95.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bondar | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5b79backed Bondar | 22c | 91.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.14 | 205 | 15.6%32 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Bondar | 73c | 89.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Bondar | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 352 | 48.6%171 W · 181 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Bondar | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Bondar | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Seidel | 70c | 58.57$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Seidel | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca9…0955backed Bondar | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Seidel | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Seidel | 66c | 50.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc802…7385backed Seidel | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bondar | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5796…10eebacked Seidel | 74c | 44.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Bondar | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 249 | 31.3%78 W · 171 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Seidel | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…4a65backed Seidel | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seidel | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617f…cde5backed Seidel | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…aac7backed Bondar | 64c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 96 | 67.7%65 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5a…0ea1backed Seidel | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Bondar | 51c | 26.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Seidel | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Seidel | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Seidel | 67c | 21.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed Seidel | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.