Tennis · resolved market
Open Sud de France, Qualification: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Andrea Vavassori
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb082ad713001713646d2e6a63888d801d331e32013a09e3f260c8fdcea45c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vavassoriof Baena, Vavassori
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0457…4403backed Baena | 26c | 17,471$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.32 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vavassori | 74c | 12,415$9,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.38 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Vavassori | 62c | 2,177$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vavassori | 73c | 1,924$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.36 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Vavassori | 52c | 1,844$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.6 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vavassori | 74c | 1,125$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.21 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Baena | 11c | 1,054$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Vavassori | 54c | 874.45$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.45 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baena | 48c | 415.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Baena | 16c | 385.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked Baena | 8c | 351.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…16ccbacked Baena | 51c | 349.07$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.62 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Baena | 33c | 323$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Baena | 27c | 310.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Baena | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Baena | 46c | 247.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Baena | 50c | 242$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Vavassori | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Vavassori | 50c | 238$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Baena | 32c | 212$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Vavassori | 61c | 166.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.92 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Vavassori | 61c | 119.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Vavassori | 61c | 113.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vavassori | 68c | 108.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Baena | 30c | 101.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…36b4backed Vavassori | 52c | 100.15$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Baena | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Baena | 53c | 84.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…c9e4backed Baena | 26c | 78.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baena | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Vavassori | 64c | 72.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7232…de7cbacked Baena | 29c | 69.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Vavassori | 73c | 66.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Baena | 44c | 60.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Baena | 19c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 694 | 29.8%207 W · 487 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Vavassori | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Vavassori | 45c | 54.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 331 | 55.6%184 W · 147 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Baena | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa4…3ba0backed Baena | 52c | 32.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Vavassori | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…6944backed Baena | 49c | 22.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vavassori | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…5f4ebacked Vavassori | 68c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5130…d4bcbacked Vavassori | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.