Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Naomi Osaka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b05c1a2abd0430f0521a43a6ba2d9a69df5aa39e3d42cad6d088c29180815af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Xinyu Wang, Naomi Osaka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $316,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $369,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Wang | 8c | 43,232$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.47 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…3a34backed Xinyu Wang | 8c | 20,645$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc3…b676backed Xinyu Wang | 7c | 13,531$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Xinyu Wang | 23c | 10,528$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.16 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 9,000$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.77 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Xinyu Wang | 8c | 7,506$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.93 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 5,154$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.49 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 249 | 61.4%153 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Xinyu Wang | 9c | 4,959$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…d9f1backed Xinyu Wang | 14c | 4,894$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.99 | 167 | 26.3%44 W · 123 L | -18.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Xinyu Wang | 19c | 4,253$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.5 | 298 | 54%161 W · 137 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 4,192$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.01 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Xinyu Wang | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 3,945$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.23 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Xinyu Wang | 9c | 3,857$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Xinyu Wang | 9c | 3,604$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 3,303$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.4 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 3,100$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.36 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Xinyu Wang | 22c | 2,965$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.4 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Xinyu Wang | 4c | 2,499$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 152 | 25%38 W · 114 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Naomi Osaka | 78c | 2,436$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.9 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Xinyu Wang | 19c | 2,046$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Xinyu Wang | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…7ba4backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 1,987$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.86 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Naomi Osaka | 78c | 1,923$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.08 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Xinyu Wang | 23c | 1,791$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.46 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Xinyu Wang | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 1,505$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.25 | 216 | 38%82 W · 134 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Xinyu Wang | 8c | 1,467$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 1,459$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.67 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Xinyu Wang | 25c | 1,418$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 371 | 44.5%165 W · 206 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Xinyu Wang | 2c | 1,249$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 1,192$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Xinyu Wang | 9c | 1,125$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.27 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Xinyu Wang | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Xinyu Wang | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.06 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 987.01$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 175 | 72%126 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 979.96$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Xinyu Wang | 9c | 965$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 853.41$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.28 | 260 | 65%169 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Xinyu Wang | 3c | 840.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Xinyu Wang | 16c | 800$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 786.92$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Xinyu Wang | 5c | 756.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Xinyu Wang | 4c | 751.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…4699backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 749.13$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Xinyu Wang | 5c | 644.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 472 | 34.7%164 W · 308 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 600$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Xinyu Wang | 25c | 599.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 577.78$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.55 | 952 | 37.7%359 W · 593 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Xinyu Wang | 19c | 562.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 541.1$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.45 | 283 | 72.1%204 W · 79 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…2e6bbacked Xinyu Wang | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 526 | 44.3%233 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 498.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 476.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.58 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Xinyu Wang | 21c | 455.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 261 | 34.1%89 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Xinyu Wang | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 451.28$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 497 | 40.6%202 W · 295 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Xinyu Wang | 15c | 444$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 390 | 55.6%217 W · 173 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 424.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Xinyu Wang | 21c | 381.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Xinyu Wang | 6c | 377.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Xinyu Wang | 6c | 370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Naomi Osaka | 75c | 368.91$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.91 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Xinyu Wang | 23c | 346.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.71 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86c…b76fbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 340$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 207 | 63.3%131 W · 76 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Xinyu Wang | 21c | 307.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Xinyu Wang | 25c | 304$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Naomi Osaka | 76c | 300.91$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Xinyu Wang | 16c | 299.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa944…bfb0backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 262.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 262.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5e…b4afbacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb6…96d1backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 465 | 65.6%305 W · 160 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Xinyu Wang | 23c | 252.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…451ebacked Naomi Osaka | 77c | 247.9$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 240.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Xinyu Wang | 21c | 232.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 227.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Xinyu Wang | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Xinyu Wang | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Naomi Osaka | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Xinyu Wang | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Xinyu Wang | 24c | 194.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 192.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 904 | 35.7%323 W · 581 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Naomi Osaka | 75c | 191$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 119 | 52.1%62 W · 57 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Xinyu Wang | 22c | 186.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Xinyu Wang | 21c | 186.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Xinyu Wang | 24c | 163.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Xinyu Wang | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Xinyu Wang | 10c | 155.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Xinyu Wang | 20c | 155.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Naomi Osakathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Wang vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set 2 Winner: Wang vs OsakaOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)Osaka won
- Xinyu Wang vs. Naomi Osaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.