TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bad Homburg Open: Xinyu Wang vs Naomi Osaka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Naomi Osakaof Xinyu Wang, Naomi Osaka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$316,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Xinyu Wang8c43,232$3,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,418.479,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x211f…3a34backed Xinyu Wang8c20,645$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.992634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…b676backed Xinyu Wang7c13,531$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000100%0 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Xinyu Wang23c10,528$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,430.1678536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Naomi Osaka77c9,000$6,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,096.7733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Xinyu Wang8c7,506$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.9345737.9%173 W · 284 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka77c5,154$3,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.491,27756.6%723 W · 554 L-19.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Naomi Osaka80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00024961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Naomi Osaka77c5,000$3,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Xinyu Wang9c4,959$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.3453343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Xinyu Wang14c4,894$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.9916726.3%44 W · 123 L-18.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Xinyu Wang19c4,253$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.529854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Naomi Osaka75c4,192$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.011,21746.3%563 W · 654 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Xinyu Wang25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016825%42 W · 126 L-14.2wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-39.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Naomi Osaka75c3,945$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.233221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Xinyu Wang9c3,857$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.964,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Xinyu Wang9c3,604$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.1257321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Naomi Osaka77c3,303$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.41,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Naomi Osaka76c3,100$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.3670752.8%373 W · 334 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Xinyu Wang24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Xinyu Wang22c2,965$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.41,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Xinyu Wang4c2,499$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9615225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Naomi Osaka78c2,436$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.944754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Xinyu Wang19c2,046$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38014246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Xinyu Wang15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x15e4…7ba4backed Xinyu Wang24c1,987$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.867530.7%23 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-22.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Naomi Osaka78c1,923$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.0821567.4%145 W · 70 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Xinyu Wang23c1,791$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.464,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20b4…bfa2backed Xinyu Wang23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033540.9%137 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Xinyu Wang24c1,505$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.2521638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Xinyu Wang20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,72350.1%863 W · 860 L+29.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Xinyu Wang8c1,467$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Naomi Osaka77c1,459$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.6737854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Xinyu Wang25c1,418$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.512,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Naomi Osaka77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.737144.5%165 W · 206 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Xinyu Wang2c1,249$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Naomi Osaka80c1,200$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Naomi Osaka80c1,192$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.7938066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Xinyu Wang9c1,125$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2781938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Xinyu Wang24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24012536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Xinyu Wang25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.062,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Naomi Osaka77c987.01$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.0117572%126 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Xinyu Wang24c979.96$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Xinyu Wang9c965$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.854,97538.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L-19.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Naomi Osaka77c853.41$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.2826065%169 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Xinyu Wang3c840.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2629940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Xinyu Wang24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042934.7%149 W · 280 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Xinyu Wang16c800$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12875543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Xinyu Wang24c786.92$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0728237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Xinyu Wang5c756.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3617829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Xinyu Wang4c751.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3083823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Xinyu Wang20c749.13$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14711748.7%57 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Xinyu Wang5c644.44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3047234.7%164 W · 308 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Naomi Osaka80c600$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12323152.4%121 W · 110 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Xinyu Wang25c599.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Xinyu Wang24c577.78$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5595237.7%359 W · 593 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Xinyu Wang19c562.7$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.134,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Naomi Osaka77c541.1$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4528372.1%204 W · 79 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Xinyu Wang21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10552644.3%233 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Xinyu Wang20c498.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.479,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Xinyu Wang24c476.5$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5879040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Xinyu Wang21c455.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6726134.1%89 W · 172 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Xinyu Wang22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Naomi Osaka78c451.28$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2849740.6%202 W · 295 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c5…c8c1backed Xinyu Wang15c444$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0839055.6%217 W · 173 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Xinyu Wang24c424.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.493,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Xinyu Wang24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Naomi Osaka75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Xinyu Wang21c381.6$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Xinyu Wang6c377.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6710816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Xinyu Wang6c370$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7553539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Naomi Osaka75c368.91$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9192953.5%497 W · 432 L-4.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Xinyu Wang23c346.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.711,74548.1%840 W · 905 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Naomi Osaka76c340$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.320763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Xinyu Wang21c307.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Xinyu Wang25c304$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,04750%524 W · 523 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Naomi Osaka76c300.91$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2228756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Xinyu Wang16c299.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4927132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa944…bfb0backed Xinyu Wang20c262.45$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Naomi Osaka78c262.45$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7421655.6%120 W · 96 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5e…b4afbacked Naomi Osaka77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.745466.7%36 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb6…96d1backed Naomi Osaka78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4146565.6%305 W · 160 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Xinyu Wang23c252.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.431,10252.2%575 W · 527 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5398…451ebacked Naomi Osaka77c247.9$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Xinyu Wang20c240.3$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.031,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Xinyu Wang21c232.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Naomi Osaka78c227.19$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.641,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Xinyu Wang7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1490%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Xinyu Wang25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Naomi Osaka77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464070%28 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Xinyu Wang25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Xinyu Wang24c194.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.641233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Xinyu Wang24c192.79$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2790435.7%323 W · 581 L-15.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Naomi Osaka75c191$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7511952.1%62 W · 57 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Xinyu Wang22c186.36$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Xinyu Wang21c186.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015937.7%60 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Xinyu Wang24c163.67$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.281,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Xinyu Wang24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Xinyu Wang10c155.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.081,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Xinyu Wang20c155.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.491,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.