NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b78249801464a3aafb1327a4f5104a9158cc1ed92550d3f45104f22eb9b4f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122a…8505backed Under | 57c | 2,759$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b842backed Under | 57c | 2,756$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 59c | 2,604$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.16 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…d341backed Under | 57c | 2,145$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 2,079$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…321dbacked Under | 57c | 1,865$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…4b55backed Over | 43c | 1,712$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc60…38fabacked Over | 43c | 1,321$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…7691backed Under | 57c | 1,321$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281c…775ebacked Under | 57c | 1,111$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…2e9ebacked Under | 57c | 1,102$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…d786backed Over | 43c | 1,056$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…9b8bbacked Over | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f24…279ebacked Over | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…a943backed Over | 43c | 944$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x132d…2f5dbacked Over | 43c | 921$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5f…8fd7backed Over | 43c | 921$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7783…b1fdbacked Under | 57c | 903$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53df…b886backed Over | 43c | 874$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67cf…e85fbacked Over | 43c | 869$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9d…7149backed Over | 43c | 844$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…385ebacked Over | 43c | 834$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…aa66backed Over | 43c | 721$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 43c | 550$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e16…991abacked Over | 43c | 327$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ac8fbacked Over | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…e6c9backed Over | 43c | 203$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1122…0f70backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 43c | 43.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5223…29d9backed Under | 60c | 20.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. JetsJets won
- Blackhawks vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.