Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde948b6a2767127be3fcdb813e4e33afa43ec60e67ca1746220b3e6d87b7a46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,268
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Yes | 30c | 10,219$3,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,065.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 4,052$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 71c | 2,584$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.58 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed No | 76c | 2,472$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.39 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 2,380$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.53 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,818$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.12 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 1,536$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.38 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,363$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.79 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 72c | 1,350$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.43 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…a442backed No | 70c | 1,100$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 76c | 1,006$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.89 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 24c | 1,004$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.22 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…2294backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 31c | 997.9$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.35 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 29c | 878.27$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 29c | 878.27$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 738.11$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 70c | 737.99$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.4 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 71c | 736.95$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 654.06$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 31c | 587.62$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…fcb3backed Yes | 29c | 517.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 28c | 482.73$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.12 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked No | 70c | 420.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.26 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 404.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 71c | 399.98$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 79c | 364.61$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 303.78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 14c | 284.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…4d80backed No | 76c | 260.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 71c | 240.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 197.43$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 29c | 197.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 179.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 29c | 166.39$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.25 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 32c | 150.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 72c | 150$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Yes | 17c | 142.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 29c | 132.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 73c | 130.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…99e2backed No | 74c | 127.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 24c | 119.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 73c | 117.29$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked No | 72c | 109.65$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 68c | 101.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 13c | 94.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 72c | 83.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 22c | 79.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 75c | 75.04$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -11.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 71.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 17.4%31 W · 147 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Yes | 27c | 65.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 32c | 39.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe5…5a7dbacked Yes | 29c | 39.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed No | 70c | 39.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-19?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. Paris FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Paris FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.