TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GIANTXof Team Vitality, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,241
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,241 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX51c20,306$10,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,921.696048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked GIANTX51c14,446$7,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,123.1890348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Team Vitality49c10,941$5,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.4214448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Vitality49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.998949.4%44 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Team Vitality55c5,940$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.218453.6%45 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e3…c540backed GIANTX45c5,373$2,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.3415146.4%70 W · 81 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Team Vitality49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,45067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Team Vitality48c3,333$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.821,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Team Vitality11c3,305$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5537948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1b…722abacked Team Vitality49c2,164$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.52250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed GIANTX71c2,044$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.3713632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb063…fa55backed Team Vitality50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed GIANTX52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72031337.7%118 W · 195 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Team Vitality38c1,471$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.1715243.4%66 W · 86 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed GIANTX66c1,366$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.41,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d38…f0c7backed Team Vitality28c1,333$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.643863.2%24 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed GIANTX69c1,309$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.0752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Team Vitality49c1,224$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010049%49 W · 51 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Vitality1c1,086$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.862181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6941backed Team Vitality50c1,046$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.0739447.2%186 W · 208 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Team Vitality48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.225268.3%172 W · 80 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Team Vitality20c1,038$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.61,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed GIANTX52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GIANTX70c918.04$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.751,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Team Vitality53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47733857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Team Vitality50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40043640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Vitality29c779.54$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.072,49547.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed GIANTX69c719.9$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.6632755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed Team Vitality56c718.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012340.7%50 W · 73 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Team Vitality50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028150.5%142 W · 139 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Vitality24c600$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…ef0cbacked Team Vitality49c513.63$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.682454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed GIANTX42c478.03$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.045442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Team Vitality49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19648143.2%208 W · 273 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x677f…1228backed GIANTX50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007038.6%27 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Team Vitality29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1161,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea69…0a9bbacked Team Vitality45c398.38$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1805154.9%28 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed GIANTX51c360$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7279745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed GIANTX45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3323849.2%117 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked GIANTX51c312.75$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed GIANTX64c312$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3227247.8%130 W · 142 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Team Vitality50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed GIANTX51c299.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14796149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked GIANTX45c293.65$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.5127745.1%125 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed GIANTX51c279.16$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.7915046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked GIANTX61c279.08$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1092,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Team Vitality25c278.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.751,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Team Vitality48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12050956.2%286 W · 223 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed GIANTX52c233.99$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3274637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked GIANTX52c230.77$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.778242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed GIANTX58c226.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.16460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Team Vitality49c224.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Team Vitality49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Team Vitality5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016038.1%61 W · 99 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2add…a167backed Team Vitality49c198.69$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.36633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed GIANTX51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Team Vitality49c195.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked GIANTX50c186$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Team Vitality56c178.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011762.4%73 W · 44 L+12.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4537…fd02backed Team Vitality50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7518752.4%98 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Team Vitality38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5032142.1%135 W · 186 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c06…b98abacked Team Vitality40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010152.5%53 W · 48 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Team Vitality49c122.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Vitality49c114$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.862,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed GIANTX45c104.44$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4450745%228 W · 279 L+1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bda…7da1backed Team Vitality49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed GIANTX51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2324650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Team Vitality51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5167763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed GIANTX52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818952.9%100 W · 89 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf2d…1100backed Team Vitality50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012640.5%51 W · 75 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked GIANTX51c97.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9560243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked GIANTX65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9221854.6%119 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked GIANTX51c70.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.594240.5%17 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Team Vitality48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cb9…064fbacked Team Vitality20c70$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+74.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab4…20e3backed Team Vitality50c67.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.775147.1%24 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c82…5a52backed Team Vitality50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031661.1%193 W · 123 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked Team Vitality50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…c14abacked Team Vitality40c52.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214452.3%23 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa109…f159backed Team Vitality57c52.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4415…bceabacked Team Vitality22c50.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed GIANTX51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3337650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Team Vitality36c49.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17544%33 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed GIANTX65c48.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0138945.2%176 W · 213 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8f…29b9backed Team Vitality50c48.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.037346.6%34 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Team Vitality33c45.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9942055.2%232 W · 188 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e30…739abacked Team Vitality49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0637…1636backed GIANTX50c40.16$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.169752.6%51 W · 46 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c65…fa22backed Team Vitality50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Team Vitality51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040645.6%185 W · 221 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed GIANTX57c34$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7811340.7%46 W · 67 L-12.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked GIANTX54c31.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4622955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9883…1d31backed GIANTX67c30.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Team Vitality50c30.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.31,57648.4%763 W · 813 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c4…622fbacked GIANTX65c30.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.669256.5%52 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x372f…182abacked Team Vitality35c30.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.569258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Team Vitality50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516753.3%89 W · 78 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX51c25.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71,31049.2%644 W · 666 L-23.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe24f…614abacked GIANTX50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.