Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28d94851a88497b931c33abc864c39bb6bbbbb1fe3f2ff41113c57471d95445a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 46c | 8,445$3,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,560.38 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 54c | 4,444$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.72 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Over | 47c | 4,040$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,140.66 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 54c | 1,865$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.03 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 46c | 1,627$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.44 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 45c | 1,416$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.56 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 50c | 663.29$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.65 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Over | 46c | 527.24$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.71 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Over | 46c | 446.2$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Under | 58c | 445.24$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.24 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 46c | 360.43$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.63 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 42c | 345.24$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.24 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 55c | 280$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 242 | 35.5%86 W · 156 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Under | 55c | 188.71$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Over | 44c | 131.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Over | 47c | 96.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 45c | 77.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Over | 45c | 62.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 52c | 53.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)GIANTX won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.