Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4777ab34813e2e6e1e82693a1244a2a8cf501b156882a7b39a3c037fc88f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x695d…0d7cbacked Under | 6c | 10,122$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,514.47 | 675 | 53.5%361 W · 314 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 29c | 4,693$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,332.22 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Over | 71c | 2,616$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.63 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Over | 71c | 1,222$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.62 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 15c | 1,000$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.21 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 66c | 508.93$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.65 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 71c | 507.31$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.19 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 30c | 490.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 21c | 488.45$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.11 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Under | 27c | 407.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.41 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 73c | 407.41$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 70c | 379.74$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.61 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 319$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.66 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 43c | 299.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.36 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Under | 37c | 239.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 58c | 217.43$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.59 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Under | 8c | 182.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.06 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 464 | 52.4%243 W · 221 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Over | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 923 | 54.3%501 W · 422 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed Over | 23c | 71.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 181 | 16%29 W · 152 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 70c | 71.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 238 | 80.3%191 W · 47 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 31c | 65.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 227 | 48%109 W · 118 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd869…4c75backed Over | 78c | 51.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1c…9bb3backed Over | 72c | 48.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Over | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Over | 71c | 42.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 38c | 39.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 35c | 36.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 33.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 44c | 26.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 276 | 68.1%188 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Game Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)GIANTX won
- Game Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)GIANTX won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerGIANTX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.