Lol · resolved market
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe32c824b0529765143c99e0b03787d142bafe81361f58f5122ba674994972154
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Solary, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f40…e1f2backed Solary | 38c | 2,300$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.7 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…1b06backed Solary | 47c | 2,045$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.41 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Solary | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.98 | 1,475 | 28.9%427 W · 1,048 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Galions | 54c | 1,410$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.33 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Galions | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 53c | 999.96$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.98 | 1,805 | 51.3%926 W · 879 L | +54.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Solary | 46c | 839.99$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 105 | 21%22 W · 83 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Galions | 52c | 777.82$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.35 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Solary | 33c | 711.52$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.6 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Solary | 32c | 684.34$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.96 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Galions | 54c | 599.65$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.84 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 72c | 541.12$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Galions | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Solary | 10c | 480.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 732 | 37.7%276 W · 456 L | -51.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galions | 54c | 450.19$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.09 | 2,370 | 32%758 W · 1,612 L | +42.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Solary | 11c | 432.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 111 | 11.7%13 W · 98 L | -17.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Solary | 47c | 416.33$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Solary | 50c | 409.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.93 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Galions | 50c | 391.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.74 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Solary | 14c | 375$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Solary | 5c | 351$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,074 | 23.6%253 W · 821 L | -77.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Solary | 11c | 320.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 2,839 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,664 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Solary | 50c | 303.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.81 | 482 | 43.2%208 W · 274 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Galions | 54c | 291.72$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.19 | 268 | 59.7%160 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Solary | 46c | 288.18$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.56 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Solary | 7c | 269.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 255 | 40.4%103 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 62c | 266$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 2,545 | 47.3%1,203 W · 1,342 L | -35.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d0…f87ebacked Solary | 26c | 254.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 411 | 40.9%168 W · 243 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Solary | 43c | 250.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.44 | 2,378 | 40.9%973 W · 1,405 L | -56.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Solary | 47c | 226.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 53c | 224.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 2,191 | 53.5%1,173 W · 1,018 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Galions | 54c | 216.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Galions | 54c | 206.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Solary | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Solary | 36c | 199.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Galions | 65c | 197.06$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Solary | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Solary | 45c | 189.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.09 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Solary | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Galions | 54c | 162.39$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Solary | 10c | 157.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 185 | 42.2%78 W · 107 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Solary | 47c | 154.91$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Galions | 54c | 135.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Solary | 50c | 104.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Galions | 54c | 100.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Galions | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Galions | 54c | 89.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1,232 | 58.1%716 W · 516 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Galions | 54c | 85.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Galions | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Galions | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Solary | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Solary | 47c | 78.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Galions | 55c | 67.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Galions | 57c | 65.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 633 | 51%323 W · 310 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Galions | 50c | 64.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Solary | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 153 | 60.1%92 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Solary | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Galions | 54c | 44.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Solary | 36c | 43.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Galions | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Solary | 49c | 40.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Galions | 54c | 40.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Solary | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 205 | 56.6%116 W · 89 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Solary | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…d10dbacked Galions | 53c | 34.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 192 | 53.6%103 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Solary | 47c | 31.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Galions | 54c | 31.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1,578 | 48.5%765 W · 813 L | +18.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…6ff7backed Solary | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Solary | 48c | 30.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 656 | 63.1%414 W · 242 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Galions | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Galions | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Solary | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galions | 67c | 23.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Galions | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…2c9bbacked Galions | 54c | 23.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Solary | 50c | 23.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…3de2backed Galions | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed Galions | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galions | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Galions | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 79c | 14.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.