South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f678fde9ced060c0e3e830151466122474f3516eadf415186a475ff1e5a101b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CA Nacional Potosíof Botafogo FR, CA Nacional Potosí
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 20,750$12,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,034.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 18,940$7,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,976.2 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked CA Nacional Potosí | 44c | 8,601$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,834.34 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 5,777$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 5,662$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340.53 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Botafogo FR | 59c | 3,955$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.76 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 3,793$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 3,176$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 2,317$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 2,038$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Botafogo FR | 58c | 2,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Botafogo FR | 59c | 1,814$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.38 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Botafogo FR | 52c | 1,579$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.37 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 1,315$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.73 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 1,116$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.07 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 601.56$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.9 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 594.87$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.97 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 585.08$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.18 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 525$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 210.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Botafogo FR | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 199.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 170$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Botafogo FR | 55c | 150.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Botafogo FR | 59c | 147.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Botafogo FR | 55c | 137.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 133$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Botafogo FR | 59c | 127.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed CA Nacional Potosí | 44c | 103.72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Botafogo FR | 56c | 97.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed CA Nacional Potosí | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Botafogo FR | 16c | 77.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked CA Nacional Potosí | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 65.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0976…922bbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 58.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked CA Nacional Potosí | 40c | 54.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed CA Nacional Potosí | 50c | 39.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 36.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 77c | 32.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…58f0backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Botafogo FR | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked CA Nacional Potosí | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed CA Nacional Potosí | 61c | 23.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Botafogo FR | 53c | 22.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Botafogo FR | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf6…b89abacked Botafogo FR | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Botafogo FR | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5)this page
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 2.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 3.5Under won
- Botafogo FR vs. CA Nacional Potosí: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)Botafogo FR won
- Spread: CA Nacional Potosí (-2.5)Botafogo FR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.