Lol · resolved market
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bd34d8b5bb4f26c094758d355ef4f97cbd40b31669d811f852dff5ab361e5d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joblifeof TLN Pirates, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed TLN Pirates | 41c | 5,280$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.33 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed TLN Pirates | 17c | 2,269$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2610…972ebacked TLN Pirates | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 11%8 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Joblife | 60c | 1,864$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.74 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Joblife | 59c | 1,186$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.41 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed TLN Pirates | 32c | 975.89$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.08 | 152 | 32.2%49 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Joblife | 68c | 961.81$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.4 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Joblife | 59c | 690.17$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TLN Pirates | 28c | 634.81$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.89 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Joblife | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joblife | 64c | 499.79$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.22 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed TLN Pirates | 38c | 491.38$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.72 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked TLN Pirates | 16c | 466.22$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked Joblife | 63c | 464.54$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked TLN Pirates | 22c | 346.26$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.1 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed TLN Pirates | 5c | 310$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked TLN Pirates | 13c | 298.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked TLN Pirates | 34c | 294.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TLN Pirates | 19c | 282.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked TLN Pirates | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 249.96$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Joblife | 72c | 232.8$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TLN Pirates | 12c | 228$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joblife | 68c | 212.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Joblife | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Joblife | 61c | 192.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Joblife | 61c | 191.48$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed TLN Pirates | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86db…4ac7backed TLN Pirates | 25c | 160.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…2f17backed TLN Pirates | 30c | 158.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed TLN Pirates | 15c | 150.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Joblife | 66c | 141$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Joblife | 69c | 116.49$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Joblife | 62c | 112.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed TLN Pirates | 20c | 108.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Joblife | 67c | 103.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Joblife | 64c | 100.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Joblife | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed TLN Pirates | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TLN Pirates | 17c | 98.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…7618backed TLN Pirates | 31c | 81.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…bd53backed TLN Pirates | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked TLN Pirates | 36c | 77.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TLN Pirates | 24c | 71.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…42abbacked Joblife | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…2b13backed Joblife | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Joblife | 75c | 53.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Joblife | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Joblife | 62c | 48.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed Joblife | 60c | 43.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked TLN Pirates | 38c | 41.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…92dabacked Joblife | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked TLN Pirates | 42c | 34.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Joblife | 62c | 33.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Joblife | 62c | 33.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Joblife | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Joblife | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Joblife | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Joblife | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 791 | 56.1%444 W · 347 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Joblife | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 170 | 40.6%69 W · 101 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked Joblife | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed Joblife | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.