Tennis · resolved market
Ostrava Open: Caty McNally vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5fc9c92189109922135be11f1a1963babc4e2f087f67d2480ed94e6ffdee8eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNallyof McNally, Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed McNally | 78c | 2,560$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.09 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lamens | 37c | 2,371$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.13 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed McNally | 79c | 1,390$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…540bbacked Lamens | 35c | 734.44$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lamens | 16c | 703.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked McNally | 75c | 677.88$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lamens | 17c | 644.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed McNally | 67c | 610.41$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lamens | 20c | 428.03$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa333…292bbacked Lamens | 30c | 335.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Lamens | 22c | 283.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lamens | 21c | 202.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Lamens | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked McNally | 73c | 94.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lamens | 18c | 90.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lamens | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed McNally | 72c | 81.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked McNally | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…76bebacked McNally | 70c | 74.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab50…6e96backed McNally | 75c | 53.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked McNally | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked McNally | 73c | 34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked McNally | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked McNally | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…0671backed McNally | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked McNally | 74c | 27.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed McNally | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.