Cricket · resolved market
Pakistan Tri-Series: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbe0cc663eca7fb84355bee6bc53dee8b1ca4a96f972e846cc258be7d6aadbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sri Lankaof Sri Lanka, Zimbabwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,283
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,283 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1473…d28bbacked Zimbabwe | 0c | 4,550$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf20…06c4backed Zimbabwe | 1c | 2,475$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sri Lanka | 78c | 2,460$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.39 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Sri Lanka | 76c | 1,917$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.17 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Zimbabwe | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…f6b3backed Zimbabwe | 17c | 1,340$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7452…5ccbbacked Zimbabwe | 2c | 1,260$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Zimbabwe | 7c | 1,100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zimbabwe | 23c | 1,049$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Zimbabwe | 20c | 960$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.9 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Zimbabwe | 5c | 878.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ef…ab48backed Zimbabwe | 4c | 801$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Zimbabwe | 25c | 692.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sri Lanka | 78c | 498.67$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sri Lanka | 71c | 465$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.62 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Zimbabwe | 6c | 405.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…af5ebacked Zimbabwe | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8b…1610backed Zimbabwe | 14c | 269.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Sri Lanka | 76c | 258.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 54cpaid | +90%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe286…6896backed Zimbabwe | 22c | 220.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Zimbabwe | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Zimbabwe | 25c | 179.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e1…e120backed Zimbabwe | 17c | 143.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Sri Lanka | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Zimbabwe | 10c | 107.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…1477backed Zimbabwe | 28c | 107.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3d…cd13backed Sri Lanka | 76c | 100.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…fb0dbacked Zimbabwe | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Zimbabwe | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…81b2backed Zimbabwe | 23c | 91.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Sri Lanka | 72c | 89.26$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Zimbabwe | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…84e6backed Zimbabwe | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf733…d6e8backed Zimbabwe | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…3d4abacked Zimbabwe | 24c | 76.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Zimbabwe | 28c | 70.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7197backed Zimbabwe | 17c | 62.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e2c2backed Zimbabwe | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…a56bbacked Zimbabwe | 28c | 51.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…ccf9backed Sri Lanka | 75c | 46.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3634…6886backed Zimbabwe | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a8…bd69backed Sri Lanka | 76c | 45.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bb…0df6backed Sri Lanka | 76c | 31.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Sri Lanka | 77c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…5414backed Sri Lanka | 80c | 19.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…fb6bbacked Sri Lanka | 75c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.