TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Suns, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,001
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,283

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,001 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings76c33,986$25,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,175.8947656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Suns20c26,282$5,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,298.916943.5%30 W · 39 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings72c12,480$8,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,497.7465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kings80c10,669$8,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.6270147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab15…dd2fbacked Suns4c7,959$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.814712.8%6 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Suns1c6,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa25…ffd9backed Suns29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…afdabacked Kings71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,450683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick66cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b45…ea09backed Suns28c5,000$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3753727%10 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Suns7c4,840$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6816443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Kings69c4,569$3,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.0833752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Kings72c4,432$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.148046.3%37 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Suns3c3,837$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.311,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns28c3,593$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.1846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Suns28c3,576$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd968…bd18backed Suns28c3,177$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.58334.9%29 W · 54 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Suns18c3,048$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.818316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf371…da1abacked Suns26c2,843$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.31010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-82.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Suns27c2,667$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.728439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Suns19c2,590$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002536%9 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4027…1afbbacked Kings73c2,277$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.71580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Kings64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7207549.3%37 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Suns22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44027642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89fa…2353backed Kings72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Suns30c1,765$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.962240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Suns25c1,696$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.29130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns22c1,541$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.531,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Kings74c1,440$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.423548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Kings66c1,410$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.357759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x833d…faedbacked Suns29c1,341$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.891040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Kings70c1,336$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…2e3cbacked Suns16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+63.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a0…9dedbacked Suns28c1,236$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.671163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Suns29c1,225$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.93732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Suns26c1,172$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b0…8e0dbacked Suns15c1,065$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.511747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Suns28c1,053$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011135.1%39 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce3…8438backed Suns18c1,020$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.891435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Suns25c1,013$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0611926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Suns30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5380…28debacked Suns37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37014852.7%78 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Suns15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b74…a4f4backed Suns31c981.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.762528%7 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Kings80c959.59$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns28c870.71$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Kings75c842.99$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.751844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Suns27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Suns31c697.38$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.781,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Suns22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15021338%81 W · 132 L-12.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…e0c9backed Suns22c669.64$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3bd1…b023backed Suns15c667.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.122326.1%6 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda0…e18abacked Suns23c664.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Suns22c641.33$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.6519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Suns16c592.54$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.016435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0a…63abbacked Suns21c578.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.614434.1%15 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+34.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c4…55cfbacked Suns35c578.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Kings71c565.15$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9250047.2%236 W · 264 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Kings73c555$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.8522832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Suns28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012451.6%64 W · 60 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a8…f9edbacked Suns14c500$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8369…3c94backed Suns27c466.89$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.066547.7%31 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb6…7245backed Suns28c455.36$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.515034%51 W · 99 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Kings70c426.61$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.3421649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Kings73c411.22$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2223646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d8c…726cbacked Suns21c401.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1513341.4%55 W · 78 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea7…f625backed Suns39c390.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.618232.9%27 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Kings68c385.71$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.119052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fbc…5e61backed Suns28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Suns29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Suns26c344.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9065218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns34c344.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6283…0cf9backed Suns30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x934e…dc5fbacked Suns30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Suns27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6099…bae1backed Suns30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4d9…0f1cbacked Suns28c321.43$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Suns30c312.25$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.125543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ea…3039backed Suns30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014542.1%61 W · 84 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Kings70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Kings71c299.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.7212247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Suns18c271.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde96…5290backed Suns9c244.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.282962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Suns25c238.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6088335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a51…29c6backed Suns25c236.53$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kings67c234.13$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.261,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Suns15c228$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Suns27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Suns36c216.84$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6114150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead7…efedbacked Suns27c207.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4814542.8%62 W · 83 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Suns20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4029355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…d68fbacked Suns21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426547.7%31 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xabd7…c531backed Suns27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543938.5%15 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked Suns35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Suns29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5826547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Suns20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e58…995dbacked Suns25c199.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.