College Football · resolved market
O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32189c3fc320971b5002ca1702a60667ed0bf43fd61c2af35546f0259ddd9575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 19,207$9,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,341.61 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 51c | 17,004$8,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,263.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 51c | 5,970$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,926.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 2,397$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.42 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 1,900$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 1,900$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,303$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 1,197$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.53 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 1,097$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.22 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 71c | 950$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 24c | 758.66$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.53 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 475.12$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.84 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 78c | 349.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.51 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 17c | 300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 266.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.94 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 48c | 240$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 19c | 216.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…c908backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df1…2da7backed Under | 37c | 164.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Under | 45c | 164$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 11c | 158.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…bc95backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 17c | 127.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 46c | 73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 48c | 72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Under | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 29c | 49.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed04…7419backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…5a42backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e12…dd1dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Under | 48c | 35.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 24.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 50.5this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UtahUtah won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah: 1H MoneylineUtah won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah: O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-13.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-14.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.