College Football · resolved market
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9c998a055623aaeb42107af19db142f8ca1bfe14c82d6560481d93fd87ac5d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 48c | 10,492$5,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,408.04 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 52c | 5,182$2,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,694.46 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 51c | 4,885$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.55 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 4,301$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.1 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 407$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.57 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 190.75$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.52 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 50c | 157.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 284 | 40.8%116 W · 168 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 51c | 97.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Over | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Under | 52c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 52c | 43.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 48c | 42.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah: O/U 51.5this page
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. UtahUtah won
- Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Utah: 1H MoneylineUtah won
- O/U 50.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-13.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-14.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.