Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe10fbdc081826d82c1b6a8c88794650a67bb8995792dc013a469a94bb4140dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 47c | 24,830$11,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,670.12 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 7,151$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 80c | 6,353$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 75c | 3,369$2,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.18 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 12c | 2,137$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.27 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 2,098$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.23 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 39c | 1,848$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,659$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.38 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 1,372$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.16 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,253$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.38 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 899.18$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 25c | 863.25$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.93 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…63e6backed No | 65c | 611$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 492.24$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.79 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 41c | 489.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedc…8bcabacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 35c | 286.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.86 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 32c | 256.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 30c | 250.84$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 73c | 229.62$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 52c | 191.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fc56backed Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…66b0backed No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 134.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 27c | 119.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 69c | 101.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…8682backed No | 62c | 97.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 29c | 85.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Yes | 67c | 80.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 57c | 77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…ac03backed Yes | 69c | 72.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Yes | 27c | 71.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked No | 59c | 63.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…64acbacked No | 54c | 61.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x456d…68d9backed No | 69c | 51.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 74c | 48.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Yes | 25c | 44.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 77c | 36.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3659…1c2dbacked Yes | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Yes | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c22…0df6backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3f…1686backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…cbf2backed No | 76c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-13?this page
- Will NEC win on 2025-12-13?No won
- Will Telstar 1963 vs. NEC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.