TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 42.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$234,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$255,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,246 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Under56c81,438$45,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,022.1153348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c50,785$24,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,299.6186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Over52c40,000$20,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,80031240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Under49c21,376$10,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,926.629245.7%42 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over44c20,360$8,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,958.475852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c14,766$6,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,941.261,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over51c14,000$7,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.999442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,1007464.9%48 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over44c10,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40013560%81 W · 54 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c9,932$4,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,617.6950242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Over46c8,000$3,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.452744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over45c5,520$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,48412944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over44c3,441$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.0456852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Over44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3206250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c2,106$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92064747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88010156.4%57 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over49c1,894$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.9131450%157 W · 157 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c1,841$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9782544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over45c1,754$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.082552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over48c1,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72565048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over44c1,273$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.1239754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c75…8c7abacked Over49c1,174$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.321225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c1,103$553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.1853253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45022446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under55c805.99$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.2747348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35213959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Over46c715.22$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32913652.2%71 W · 65 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26427633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4602…3315backed Over52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over45c563.69$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.576934.8%24 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Under53c442.35$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.98650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over44c403.25$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.421,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61d…df1abacked Over49c400.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0210555.2%58 W · 47 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over50c400$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1984143.9%18 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1768750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17620555.6%114 W · 91 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020443.6%89 W · 115 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13214060.7%85 W · 55 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c250$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.519240.1%77 W · 115 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.611758.1%68 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over44c240$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.611859.3%70 W · 48 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over52c194$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8820238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007550.7%38 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.212057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over44c180$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.216360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c169$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1216349.7%81 W · 82 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e49…bd4bbacked Under49c135$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.851258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810155.4%56 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86147.5%29 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.86755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.812356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811058.2%64 W · 46 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89659.4%57 W · 39 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.810958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.89757.7%56 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811056.4%62 W · 48 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.811856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Over47c106.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49a0…29acbacked Over49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5315144.4%67 W · 84 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under52c94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3620…2e6cbacked Under49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.633036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2d8…bf10backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3630…7f06backed Over52c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21540%6 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42450%12 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.413357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.415453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410155.4%56 W · 45 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.412458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.415556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411552.2%60 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.611253.6%60 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.49862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.410861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66bc…c341backed Under55c55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over48c52.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8520944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked Under55c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.