NFL · resolved market
Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 41.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85b50205a57b53820292e1b57601c28433415f4c21e3efc5c8c9691ab75489c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 20,415$10,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,615.58 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 20,415$9,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,615.58 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 1,953$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 1,365$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.85 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 1,182$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.28 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 1,055$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.95 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc963…e1d7backed Over | 50c | 950$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 848$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 52c | 484.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 48c | 284.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 169 | 40.8%69 W · 100 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 141 | 58.9%83 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…e568backed Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…094fbacked Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 41.5this page
- Spread: Vikings (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-2.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-3.5)Giants won
- Vikings vs. GiantsVikings won
- Vikings vs. Giants: 1H MoneylineVikings won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 42.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 43.5Under won
- Vikings vs. Giants: O/U 44.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.