Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x757fe2630d776a8499a897e92a24c9622ad144ffd304ff1c3281a2f0f7ba3d84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16b…8404backed No | 52c | 20,001$10,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 18,324$9,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,795.52 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 52c | 3,546$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.08 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 1,358$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.27 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 42c | 988.02$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.5 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 49c | 978.61$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.05 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 977.39$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.73 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 805$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.4 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…f456backed Yes | 48c | 518.75$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 47c | 506.15$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.53 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 52c | 384.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.79 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 46c | 307$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 52c | 302$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.96 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…28febacked Yes | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 53c | 199.9$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.95 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 46c | 179.92$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 41c | 97.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 64c | 68.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 52c | 58.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…e241backed Yes | 45c | 44.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 47c | 42.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a34…40a0backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked No | 53c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eda…1847backed No | 71c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…852fbacked Yes | 48c | 21.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2025-12-14?Yes won
- Will Samsunspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.