Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfa0dd4f39006fe150aec22787bb629dc15f1e285bef3469e05ca7f32ae42f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Vanderbilt Commodores, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 31c | 10,290$3,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160.51 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 69c | 8,142$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 31c | 3,049$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.53 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 68c | 2,679$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 32c | 997.32$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.71 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 942$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.51 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 79c | 939.93$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 857.43$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 7c | 801.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 69c | 800$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 68c | 736.27$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.02 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 68c | 673$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 23c | 609.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 34c | 348.08$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 286.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.53 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 17c | 285.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 34c | 195.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33c | 154$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 127$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33c | 63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 33c | 43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…e26cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 35c | 33.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…0190backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…6b2dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891e…ea69backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6d…d6bdbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4f…73a6backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…bcb1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsthis page
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-4.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 159.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 160.5Over won
- Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons: O/U 161.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.