La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a754c6ae58d58f6ca62af07d28ad72e7c17d4e685cfd5989b45fd027102364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 65c | 21,532$13,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,536.15 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 64c | 10,232$6,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.96 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.98 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 4,106$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.09 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 65c | 3,515$2,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.95 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8819…4cf5backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 62c | 318.92$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 72c | 278.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 66c | 225$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 224.05$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.51 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed No | 66c | 223.83$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 193.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.07 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 65c | 187.23$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.53 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 152$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 35c | 141.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 58c | 107.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 19c | 101$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Yes | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Yes | 33c | 89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 35c | 87.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 26c | 57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 70c | 42.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 35c | 34.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…bd4bbacked No | 66c | 30.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked No | 69c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…d47ebacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Yes | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed No | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 65c | 19.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…ab38backed Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2025-12-14?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2025-12-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.