TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "28 Years Later: The Bone Temple" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,039
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,039 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777a…0e5ebacked Yes48c977.16$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed No48c661.24$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.16028.3%17 W · 43 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0562…9d66backed No10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506732.8%22 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2009…903ebacked No57c399.9$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.94742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked No26c303.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.04488.3%4 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-54%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes6c207.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.52013.5%7 W · 194 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17e1…98aebacked Yes43c128$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.96250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No9c116.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.714316.3%7 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-55.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac8c…415cbacked Yes64c113.11$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.53745.9%17 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0479…f2ddbacked No54c110.86$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c3…36eebacked Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick33cpaid+151.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8975…ffe6backed Yes59c97.37$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7920668.9%142 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…7ef9backed No39c77.06$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.111625%4 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed No53c75.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes74c69.68$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1219836.4%72 W · 126 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.312539.2%49 W · 76 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes60c57.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.955151%26 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…e7b6backed No59c44.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No27c40.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8211129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes60c34.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.913650%68 W · 68 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.