TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,943
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,943 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Under48c126,686$60,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,100.6843647%205 W · 231 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over52c84,896$44,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,145.8785645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over57c15,104$8,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,609.339749.5%48 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over54c12,222$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.881,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c7,190$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,802.8211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c2,222$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.661,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over58c1,708$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.788,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under42c1,593$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.878,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x992b…5053backed Over53c1,200$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.9922753.3%121 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over49c1,111$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.63,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b1…4b99backed Over55c1,097$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60017546.9%82 W · 93 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Over61c1,028$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.049450%47 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under46c1,012$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.234,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over65c852.45$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa31a…d023backed Under16c779.81$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.048744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over79c712.35$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.38,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over61c655.59$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9112449.2%61 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under46c619.14$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.341,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c575.04$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.021,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c565.91$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.593,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Under46c565.52$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.3889053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe22a…cb75backed Over54c560$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.426948.7%131 W · 138 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under47c477$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8141051.7%212 W · 198 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under47c378.94$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.036,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over51c349.38$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.779,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Over53c286.41$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.856851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over39c247.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.295,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under23c219.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.322,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over53c215.45$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.192,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10961948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over55c190.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over54c190$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c6…eeb6backed Under35c188.74$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9415942.8%68 W · 91 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016251.9%84 W · 78 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.91,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over55c167$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8572648.1%349 W · 377 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over54c159$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.861,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c155$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.151,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c129.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.191,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked Under47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6614946.3%69 W · 80 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d5…9622backed Over54c126.09$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.097643.4%33 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under61c123.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.181,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.61,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over55c118$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.93844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Over78c100.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.986248.4%30 W · 32 L-15.4wins-0.25per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6115143.7%66 W · 85 L-12.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Under48c99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.482,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over56c99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.445,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c95.67$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.663,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over59c94.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.471,92717.2%331 W · 1,596 L-320.3wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-64.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under44c80.08$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.872655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Over55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413053.1%69 W · 61 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over56c75.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.841,72350.3%867 W · 856 L+55.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Under47c72.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3485949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under47c60.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1467453%357 W · 317 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under50c58.5$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.252,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under40c57.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3710,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Under31c57.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.374226.2%11 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-42.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95fa…bf35backed Over59c57.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.825644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over58c56.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.361,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Over54c55.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.331,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Over39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2829242.5%124 W · 168 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under47c51.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.061,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2724152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b95…5733backed Under33c47.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8421055.2%116 W · 94 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf804…8758backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.85922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-58.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda54…b8a1backed Under46c34.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7928456.7%161 W · 123 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Over53c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0225850.4%130 W · 128 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Over54c31.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.94214.3%6 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Over55c30.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6259749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.426860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over79c28.8$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.757569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb208…e0b2backed Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158457.1%48 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Under51c26.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2166056.2%371 W · 289 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Under47c22.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.853444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe046…9bc6backed Under51c21.57$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5711158.6%65 W · 46 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Over52c20.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6613252.3%69 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under52c19.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.670737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08c…4b12backed Over76c19.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.