Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8190d9e4722d41a89070a9a61313ac504a057d6098fa8e621a5f02358cadc625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Over | 58c | 10,746$6,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518.89 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 9,564$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033.62 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 33c | 9,526$3,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,139.9 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 48c | 8,767$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,548.82 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 5,267$3,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 42c | 4,760$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 61c | 4,382$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.32 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.98 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.97 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 43c | 3,458$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 3,136$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.44 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 42c | 2,368$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.56 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 2,305$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.37 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 55c | 1,971$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 42c | 1,907$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.67 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Over | 42c | 1,617$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 42c | 1,401$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.83 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Under | 44c | 1,328$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 43c | 1,150$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Over | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Over | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under | 31c | 876.87$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 31c | 861.51$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over | 58c | 840.68$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.08 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 822.8$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 42c | 673.09$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.7 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 50c | 650.9$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.95 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 25c | 623.2$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.83 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…02b5backed Over | 57c | 614.04$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.04 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 46c | 546.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 517$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 55c | 494.99$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.19 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -7.1wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 42c | 487.51$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Over | 58c | 485.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.83 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 22c | 483.61$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 44c | 466.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 45c | 437.29$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.5wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 8c | 414$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8d…c822backed Over | 55c | 402.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Under | 29c | 397.7$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 349.98$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 57c | 338.58$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0503…8b4ebacked Under | 43c | 322.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 42c | 320$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 7c | 307.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 42c | 287.06$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 42c | 244.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.41 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Over | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…9577backed Under | 47c | 214.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 71c | 201$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 59c | 170.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 57c | 149.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…aa3cbacked Over | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 120.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 48c | 118.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 16c | 117.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Under | 43c | 115.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Over | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 43c | 109.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 42c | 106.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Over | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 42c | 93.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed Under | 43c | 87.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Over | 58c | 85.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 50c | 85.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 42c | 85.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Under | 53c | 83.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 66c | 81.21$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 44c | 72.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 50c | 62.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 62c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Over | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 36c | 54.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 55c | 53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.