Bundesliga · resolved market
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7b0fd03ca953667b8abfc7da5bcbbcd1675e9049b9d701d5d57499e7b14d5af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 36c | 15,708$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,053.33 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 5,626$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,618.56 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 44c | 4,376$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.36 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.82 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 21c | 3,600$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 64c | 2,368$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.52 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 2,005$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.44 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,859$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.88 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1783backed Under | 65c | 1,623$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 56c | 1,284$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.7 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed Over | 35c | 1,242$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 64c | 1,234$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.81 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 64c | 1,000$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.97 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…3651backed Over | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 65c | 900$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 64c | 900$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 76c | 880.31$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.32 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…c1d9backed Over | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 76c | 788.86$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2b76backed Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 65c | 620.63$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.41 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 41c | 469.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 452.27$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 65c | 400$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Under | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 14c | 356$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 30c | 327.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 16c | 327.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.83 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Under | 47c | 322.84$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…58eabacked Under | 13c | 320.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 306.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 16c | 290.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6af5…992abacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 31c | 252.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 66c | 240$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 39c | 228.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 64c | 216.25$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe2…6829backed Under | 67c | 199.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 64c | 180.62$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 65c | 173.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 287 | 55.1%158 W · 129 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbf…70a1backed Under | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 80c | 168.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 65c | 167.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.41 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 67c | 164.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 64c | 159$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.55 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 66c | 155.32$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 148.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 64c | 147$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Under | 65c | 138.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 55c | 119.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.34 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 112.19$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 531 | 40.7%216 W · 315 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 26c | 106.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.31 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked Over | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 61c | 95.08$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 54c | 94.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 73c | 93.59$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 64c | 90.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 35c | 87.57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 271 | 42.8%116 W · 155 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbd…a3a4backed Over | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 34c | 73.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 65c | 71.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 38c | 70.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Under | 22c | 68.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 45c | 67.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 67.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 66.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 39c | 65.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9808…5cfdbacked Under | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 80c | 60.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 37c | 59.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…2920backed Under | 44c | 51.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x404f…f2a1backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 65c | 47.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 66c | 46.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Under | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 29c | 43.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Under | 49c | 36.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecda…6f0abacked Under | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Over | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…6478backed Over | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)FC St. Pauli 1910 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.