TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c10,098$4,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,265.754,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Under44c8,047$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,530.15927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under48c4,652$2,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,431.78351.8%43 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Under43c4,278$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,438.42544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c4,057$1,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,273.743,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.2220054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over79c3,500$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7656468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2c…e8e8backed Over38c2,940$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.850%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c2,634$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.2657139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb7b…3051backed Under55c2,027$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.27771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+90.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under38c1,592$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.9412020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under42c1,027$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.6710127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4103438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c956.16$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.2292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over57c859.91$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Over59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over40c650.8$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.3217128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Over43c645.68$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.415366%35 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over54c600$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3244235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over59c593.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3507031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over58c562.19$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.071747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over68c541.55$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.031,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over57c507.11$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.055151%26 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26511819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c459.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7942158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under45c446.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.073060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Under57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over45c383.22$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.453740.5%15 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over53c357.01$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19022357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over58c350$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2039558.9%56 W · 39 L+10.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over54c338.04$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.1760147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over33c333.33$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Over59c303.39$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over60c285.61$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.849057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c283.03$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.8483444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under45c226.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2422246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over34c223$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.156350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under45c222.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2144039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over46c217.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003060%18 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36d4…8c7fbacked Under33c203.03$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.031250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over33c197.3$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9510347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over37c193$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4120142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Over20c188$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under46c184.54$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.034755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over38c177.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8722553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over36c173$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe398…ee2ebacked Over58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over58c169.78$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.472,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06f…0263backed Over51c169.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.623655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over46c154.07$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Under66c135.07$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.926377.8%49 W · 14 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under51c133.48$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over37c130.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.415451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over52c130.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-55.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4da5…f87dbacked Over79c121.52$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24a3…7c66backed Over57c117.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over74c116.05$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.293748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over38c113.4$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over54c111.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015344.4%68 W · 85 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over57c107.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over69c105$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.213070.8%92 W · 38 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Over56c101.38$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.777850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5717859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8293…aaeebacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe92a…7d0dbacked Over58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57c…66febacked Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137.7%1 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.25per pick32cpaid-87.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over56c89.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9720253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over38c89.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8819247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over46c87.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Under41c84.75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503828.9%11 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f6…d986backed Under38c79.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+165.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff89…9c06backed Over59c79.66$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under71c76.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2317044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3624048.3%116 W · 124 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c74.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.71,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over58c67.24$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395543.6%24 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Over57c65.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.198846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over52c64.81$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.73751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07f5…d680backed Under61c61.06$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over48c60.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under45c60.14$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2328138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over69c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.51070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304623.9%11 W · 35 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe875…8492backed Under36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.561618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick14cpaid-22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over47c53.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over56c53.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Under21c52.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8614023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c50.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4275451.2%386 W · 368 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.