La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9f9d475f9ff2c6bf6ad1601b259b5de931ffea613c83930906d6f68e70d9fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 3,537$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…994abacked Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Yes | 62c | 1,232$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.13 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 38c | 967.11$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 38c | 771.26$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 726.88$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.47 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 40c | 669.03$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.61 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 39c | 538.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.62 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 61c | 532.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Yes | 62c | 435.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fa…546bbacked Yes | 62c | 320.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.62 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 61c | 243.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.64 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed No | 31c | 235.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 61c | 229.66$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…0fd1backed Yes | 62c | 227.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 17 | 94.1%16 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.38per pick | 56cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…810cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Yes | 61c | 210.33$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…f469backed Yes | 63c | 191.84$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…62d7backed Yes | 63c | 141.44$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 137$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 113.59$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 63c | 102$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 95.6$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Yes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 57c | 89.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 67c | 83.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 81.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Yes | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 77.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed No | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2600…f0dcbacked Yes | 63c | 50.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…4440backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 61c | 49.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed No | 34c | 49.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 48c | 49.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…4f4fbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…c3aabacked Yes | 62c | 47.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f0…6a42backed Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed No | 39c | 37.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 59c | 32.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 40c | 30.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Yes | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 40c | 29.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 72c | 26.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes | 72c | 25.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 71c | 25.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…613bbacked Yes | 71c | 23.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5778…cad6backed Yes | 62c | 22.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Yes | 72c | 17.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc080…f9a0backed Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 60c | 17.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 60c | 17.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…b5dfbacked Yes | 62c | 16.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.