La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988dfb27ff0db835b1bd8db340375f4da54e282dee5630ee32ba708a869e76b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RCD Mallorcaof Villarreal CF, RCD Mallorca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Villarreal CF | 10c | 2,325$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.6 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa1…4e62backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 1,303$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf0…4438backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 989.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…8272backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 989.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…3f92backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 984.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1c…eb34backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 984.94$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…1a88backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf831…c94ebacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…053dbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f8aebacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 975$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…8a95backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 899.23$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c2…778ebacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 858$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…249abacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 856.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…0cf5backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 855$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6cd7backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 820$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…0f4fbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 820$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…7febbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 819$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…4baabacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 813$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…0a8dbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 809$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00d…75a4backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 804$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…5540backed Villarreal CF | 6c | 792.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…0cffbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 781$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Villarreal CF | 7c | 647.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Villarreal CF | 5c | 231.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Villarreal CF | 9c | 224.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Villarreal CF | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)this page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.