South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad4a83a6c2b08c0f9df6f6a2c619974311a9352de48061fcf928d2831f5b2277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Yes | 54c | 36,911$19,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,766.07 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 42c | 10,718$4,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,216.19 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 46c | 9,000$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.51 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 6,505$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.68 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 57c | 4,909$2,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 4,021$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.69 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 2,549$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.99 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked No | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 1,962$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.62 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.78 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed No | 47c | 1,172$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 1,009$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.23 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 52c | 989.26$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.42 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 866.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.67 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed No | 44c | 820.64$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 717.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 59c | 529.87$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 57c | 476$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 40c | 460$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0124backed Yes | 58c | 402.97$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 391$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 46c | 294$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.76 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 54c | 294$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Yes | 57c | 261$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 46c | 239.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…a72fbacked No | 45c | 222$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 32c | 208.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 208.88$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.84 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 44c | 187.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 61c | 152.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 43c | 147$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 45c | 145.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed No | 44c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed No | 45c | 135.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes | 56c | 133$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed No | 48c | 132.72$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 57c | 132$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 46c | 96.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 44c | 89.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab9…5df5backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 57c | 74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +224.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 48c | 72.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked No | 45c | 65.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked No | 79c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 59c | 41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 47c | 40.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…3965backed Yes | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89f…583ebacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 42c | 32.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 48c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed No | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Yes | 52c | 22.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed No | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.