South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51160b935349e25dc3fbc8c99b713348549b839d3086c77f8c50788465246b26
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 21c | 8,202$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,493.45 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 20c | 6,336$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 4,427$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.84 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 4,339$3,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,652$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 17c | 2,485$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.12 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 3c | 2,451$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,647$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.66 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 2c | 1,612$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,459$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.07 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 20c | 1,428$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 55c | 1,261$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.03 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 3c | 1,093$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 80c | 999.99$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.99 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…8715backed Yes | 46c | 782.61$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 80c | 767.42$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.93 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 6c | 663.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 53c | 553.04$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.11 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 471$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.79 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 3c | 468.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 47c | 426.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 371$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 313.61$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Yes | 50c | 291$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 270$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 50c | 266$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.08 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 20c | 256.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 51c | 240$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.95 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 80c | 225.43$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.34 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 6c | 221.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Yes | 47c | 205.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d8…5be4backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 22c | 196.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 51c | 188$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 143.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 136.07$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.82 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed No | 36c | 116.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 114.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 20c | 101.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf208…aee3backed Yes | 20c | 90$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked No | 52c | 89.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…a9debacked No | 23c | 72.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 47c | 63.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 46c | 63.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 51c | 47.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 55c | 44.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 23c | 44.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 27c | 44.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 63c | 38.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 55c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked No | 29c | 34.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 55c | 33.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…573ebacked No | 55c | 32.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…b573backed Yes | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 79c | 31.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 82 | 65.9%54 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 66c | 28.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…3f60backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 77c | 24.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 80c | 16.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 15.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked No | 77c | 13.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-10?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.