La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe112cd239d327d8ad22968ad210e3f1dc0cbdd55fcd8eb4c5eee6169d687ef1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 51c | 5,617$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.47 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 4,827$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,617.02 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 4,827$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.96 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5eb…93bfbacked No | 80c | 2,472$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.37 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 2,088$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.27 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 15c | 1,811$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 52c | 1,252$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.58 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 50c | 970.33$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.13 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 47c | 823.86$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.92 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 53c | 520.11$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.66 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 481.32$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.65 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 9c | 473.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 50c | 472.06$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 53c | 422.73$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.05 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 48c | 419.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 390.46$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 79c | 382.79$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 41c | 342.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 52c | 330.78$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.01 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 39c | 322.77$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 305.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 280.95$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 33c | 278.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.89 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 33c | 278.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 34c | 240.05$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 8c | 237.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 51c | 203.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 25c | 194.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 49c | 187.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 17c | 180.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 17c | 180.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 21c | 166.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 8c | 147.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 57c | 136.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 48c | 132$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.52 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 48c | 122.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 65c | 111.85$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 59c | 107.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 76c | 104$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Yes | 49c | 103.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 12c | 94.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 21c | 92.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 53c | 91.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.91 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 87.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 18c | 87.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 31c | 83.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.57 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked No | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 77.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 53c | 67.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 56c | 63.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.57 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 57c | 57.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 79c | 52.28$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 49c | 47.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 67c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked No | 76c | 44.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 53c | 43.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e5…ba5fbacked No | 79c | 39.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 49c | 34.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 52c | 23.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 56c | 20.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 54c | 20.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 57c | 19.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.