La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45b298c2262304318a2a1f3a1040ac9b809c73bc265f6490d3fe86c54f57fbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 32c | 29,752$9,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,495.09 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes | 23c | 25,990$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,977.3 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 13,842$10,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 13,375$9,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,786.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 11,436$7,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.85 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cf…e292backed No | 77c | 10,153$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 5,238$3,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.17 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 15c | 1,569$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.61 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 1,536$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.18 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 1,004$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 77c | 986.2$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.83 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 810.87$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 26c | 332.09$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.96 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 33c | 293.25$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 33c | 291.73$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…50bbbacked Yes | 5c | 282.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 77c | 247.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 242.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 71c | 227.39$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 25c | 147.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 71c | 141.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 141$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Yes | 19c | 136.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 133.76$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 113.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 77c | 111.67$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Yes | 33c | 102.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 20c | 101.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 77c | 98.79$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 30c | 93.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 91.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 76c | 91.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 91.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 74c | 88.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Yes | 26c | 87.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 32c | 81.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 77c | 68.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…90fdbacked No | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 26c | 61.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 78c | 59.59$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 105 | 61.9%65 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 72c | 54.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 51.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 50.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 42.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 69c | 40.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 71c | 35.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 69c | 32.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 70c | 32.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 168 | 60.1%101 W · 67 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 70c | 20.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 88 | 67%59 W · 29 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 77c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…9ce6backed No | 72c | 19.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…9944backed No | 73c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 70c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 77c | 18.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 77c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 129 | 64.3%83 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.