La Liga · resolved market
Will CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06ed5392ddf3e390c91a1f30128d7194ca5d23872e14123b1ed4eae0a77b3e76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 4,599$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.85 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 4,591$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.4 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 2,865$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…09c7backed Yes | 71c | 2,359$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 28c | 1,280$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.51 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Yes | 49c | 609.92$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.35 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked No | 32c | 591.03$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.88 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 75c | 358.58$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 345.53$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 75c | 334.66$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…ab7cbacked Yes | 75c | 295.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked No | 77c | 284.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.82 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 74c | 278.31$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 211.54$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.79 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 191.4$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 21c | 173.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 13c | 144.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 138.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 136.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 29c | 125.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 39c | 122.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 63c | 94.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 77.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 76c | 73.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 61.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 72c | 47.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb4…98e9backed No | 31c | 46.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…9fccbacked Yes | 60c | 43.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 25c | 43.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 73c | 41.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 38c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 27.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 71c | 27.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 27.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 27.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Yes | 74c | 24.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 23.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 73c | 21.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 57c | 20.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 71c | 19.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…a9abbacked Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Mirandés vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.