South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17adfd5a0f8bc078d8ec15f8cdb1ab8cd426cbb90ccd13cb4ce5d3ebc9c21c96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 2,120$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.18 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,769$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,047$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 53c | 769.34$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.42 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 64c | 540.35$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 37c | 539.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 533.48$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.53 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 478.61$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 77c | 266.18$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Yes | 23c | 246.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…c46abacked No | 77c | 234.05$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +10.2wins | +0.27per pick | 55cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 53c | 182.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c0…6c8abacked Yes | 28c | 180.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 28c | 179.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 157.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 54c | 141.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 72c | 141.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 56c | 139.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 119.49$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 108$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Yes | 48c | 96.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Yes | 36c | 87.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 73c | 83.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 38c | 78.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 65c | 74.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked No | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 56c | 46.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 56c | 46.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 46.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 56c | 46.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 27c | 38.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 64c | 36.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked No | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 58c | 25.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 78c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Club León FC win on 2026-04-10?Yes won
- Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.